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Discover (R) Small Business Watch (SM)
Discover (R) Small Business Watch (SM): Small Business Confidence Rises to Highest Level in 18 Months
Thursday, September 03, 2009
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Economic confidence among small business owners jumped to its highest level in 18 months in August as more owners expressed faith that the U.S. economy is on the rise and gave signs that they are more willing to invest in advertising and new inventory, according to the latest Discover (R) Small Business Watch (SM). The index rose to 89.8, up 7.7 points from July and the highest level since 90.9 in February 2008. "For the past few months, small business owners have shown rising confidence in the overall economy, as well as an increasing sense that the conditions for their own businesses are improving," said Ryan Scully, director of Discover's business credit card. "This month we have a few more signs that they may be ready to start trying to grow their businesses again, and that the worst may be over." August Highlights: -- The number of small business owners who think the economy is getting worse dropped to 43 percent in August, the lowest reading on that data point since the Watch's inception exactly three years ago. This month, 38 percent of owners say the economy is getting better, up from 30 percent in July; 15 percent believe that the economy is staying the same, down from 16 percent in July; and 4 percent remain unsure. -- 48 percent of small business owners rate the economy as poor, which is the lowest percentage since February 2008, while 41 percent rate it fair and 9 percent say it is excellent or good. -- 30 percent of small business owners see economic conditions for their businesses improving, up from 29 percent in July; 44 percent see their own conditions getting worse, down from 46 percent in July; and 23 percent say the climate is unchanged. -- 27 percent of small business owners say they plan to increase spending on business development, such as advertising, inventory and capital expenditures, which is up from 23 percent in July; 43 percent plan to decrease spending, down from 49 percent in July; 25 percent are planning no changes; and 5 percent aren't sure. -- 51 percent of owners say they have experienced cash flow issues in the past 90 days, down from 53 percent in July. Small Business Owners See Green Growth in Recovery In a post-recession recovery, small business owners say so-called "green" industries show potential for growth opportunities, but few are employing green tactics in ways that help their bottom lines. "When entrepreneurs look for opportunities in the post-recession economy, they see the most potential in green industries, technology, energy and business services," Scully said. "On the other hand, we see less excitement around business segments such as manufacturing, financial services, retail and food service as avenues for growth." Highlights: -- When asked to choose from a list of business segments with the best opportunity for growth, small business owners said they see the most potential in the following areas: -- Green Industries, 13 percent -- Business Services, 10 percent -- Energy, 9 percent -- Technology, 9 percent -- Financial Services, 8 percent -- Food Service & Restaurants, 6 percent -- Manufacturing, 5 percent -- Retail, 4 percent -- Transportation, 2 percent -- Not sure, 35 percent -- When asked to select from a list of business segments with the least opportunity for growth, owners made the following choices: -- Manufacturing, 18 percent -- Financial Services, 15 percent -- Food Service & Restaurants, 10 percent -- Retail, 10 percent -- Business Services, 9 percent -- Energy, 6 percent -- Green Industries, 4 percent -- Transportation, 2 percent -- Technology, 1 percent -- Not sure, 24 percent -- Nearly half of small business owners, 48 percent, say that green industries have no impact on their business, while 30 percent say green industries hurt their business and 20 percent say they help. -- When asked which green industries could help their businesses the most, 18 percent chose alternative fuels, followed by energy conservation, 11 percent; recycling, 9 percent; and solar power, wind power, transportation, and water conservation each received 4 percent of the vote. However, this issue has a high degree of uncertainty as 46 percent said they were "not sure" which of these industries could help them the most. When it comes to going green themselves, 71 percent of small business owners have not instituted any green measures in the past year that have helped profits. Of the 21 percent who did use such applications, 49 percent said energy conservation had the most significant effect on their bottom lines, followed by alternative fuels, 20 percent, and recycling, 20 percent. Solar power, wind power, water conservation and transportation all garnered less than 5 percent of the vote apiece. In the next six months, 23 percent of small business owners said they have plans to institute green measures at their businesses, while 65 percent said they don't and 12 percent weren't sure. HEALTH CARE UPDATE: Nearly 40% Weigh in on Health Care Reform Thirty-nine percent of small business owners said in August that they have contacted their congressional representatives regarding health care legislation currently under consideration. The views and opinions expressed by small business owners and consumers who participate in the Small Business Watch survey are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Discover Financial Services or its affiliates. About the Small Business Watch The Discover Small Business Watch is a monthly index measuring the relative economic confidence of U.S. small business owners who employ less than five employees, a segment that consists of 22 million businesses producing more than a trillion dollars in annual receipts. The Watch is based on a national random survey of 1,000 small business owners. It is commissioned by the Discover Business Card, which strives to offer the best business credit card for American small businesses, and is conducted by Rasmussen Reports, LLC (www.rasmussenreports.com), an independent survey research firm. The numeric index is calculated by assigning values to responses to a set of six consistent questions. The base value of the Watch was established at 100.0 based on surveys conducted in August of 2006. In addition to generating the index, the Small Business Watch surveys small business viewpoints on key business drivers, and also surveys 4,000 consumers to gauge purchasing behavior and attitudes towards small businesses. For past results and small business survey data, visit www.discovercard.com/business/watch. For information on Discover Business Card, visit www.discovercard.com/business. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIES49% See GOP Takeover of Congress Next Year As Possible 42% Support Health Care Reform After Release of Pelosi's Version Americans Favor Home Buyer Tax Credit Until They Hear How Much It Costs There Is No Honor; There's Only Killing By Debra J. Saunders President Obama: One Year After Winning it All 45% for Obama, 49% Against – If Election Were Held Right Now 72% Say Health Plan Likely to Shift Employees from Private Insurance to Government Plan Generic Ballot Shows No Change This Week 55% Expect Washington Politics to Grow More Partisan Advertisement
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