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July 10, 2010

South Dakota Governor: Daugaard (R) 52%, Heidepriem (D) 35%

Lieutenant Governor Dennis Daugaard continues to lead his Democratic challenger, Scott Heidepriem, by a wide margin in the race for governor of South Dakota. 

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July 10, 2010

60% in Florida Oppose Justice Department Challenge of Arizona Immigration Law

Just 28% of Florida voters agree with the U.S. Department of Justice’s decision to challenge the legality of Arizona’s recently enacted immigration law.

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July 10, 2010

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Ending July 10, 2010

Politically speaking, only an improved economy is likely to trump health care and immigration in voters’ minds this November, but the latest findings on the economic front are far from reassuring.

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July 9, 2010

85% Say Keep the All-Star Game

The All-Star Game has been a Major League Baseball tradition since 1933, showcasing the best players in the game, and most baseball fans want to keep that tradition going.

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July 9, 2010

35% Say They Owe More on Mortgage Than Their Home Is Worth

Over one-third of current homeowners say they owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth, and outlooks for the housing market in the short and long-term are growing more pessimistic.

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July 9, 2010

57% in Pennsylvania Favor Arizona-Like Immigration Law

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Likely Voters in Pennsylvania favor an immigration law similar to the one passed in Arizona in their state, according to a recent Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey. Twenty-eight percent (28%) oppose such a law.

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July 9, 2010

South Dakota House: Noem (R) 49%, Herseth-Sandlin (D) 44%

Republican Kristi Noem’s post-primary bounce appears to be over, and she and incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin are now in much tighter race for South Dakota’s only House seat.

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July 9, 2010

Inadequate Spending? By Howard Rich

In a column published last week in The New York Times, Princeton economics professor Paul Krugman condemns recent attempts to inject some common sense into what has become an epidemic of mindless government growth in America and around the world.

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July 9, 2010

Midterm Morsels: House Ratings Changes By Isaac Wood

While many people spent the July 4th weekend cooling off at the beach, the summer heat is still being felt in a number of marquee House matchups. As a result a few ratings changes are in order, as we explain below. As always you can visit the Crystal Ball website anytime for a complete chart of all competitive House races.

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July 9, 2010

66% Expect More Partisanship In Washington

Democrats and Republicans in the Nation's Capital have seldom agreed on anything in recent years, and the majority of voters expect things to remain the same. Most also see President Obama and both parties in Congress as continuing to govern in a partisan way. ?

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July 9, 2010

Illinois Governor: Brady (R) 43%, Quinn (D) 40%

Illinois’ embattled Democratic Governor Pat Quinn has closed the gap somewhat this month and now trails his Republican challenger Bill Brady by just three points in the state’s hotly-contested gubernatorial contest.

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July 9, 2010

Those Stubborn Toss-Ups By Larry J. Sabato

With just four months to go before the voting in November, many races have settled in—falling into the D or R column as Solid, Likely, or Lean. But then, there are those stubborn toss-ups. Some are unmovable since the primaries haven’t yet been held and the nominees in one or both parties are unknown. Still others haven’t gelled because candidates aren’t spending money or voters stubbornly refusing to focus on politics in the middle of a hot summer. (How dare they?)

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July 8, 2010

Older Americans More Supportive of Higher Taxes To Help Social Security Than Those Who Are Younger

Americans are evenly divided over the idea of paying higher taxes to save their Social Security benefits, but older Adults like the idea much more than those who are younger.

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July 8, 2010

Jeter, Mauer Are American League All-Star Favorites

Longtime New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter earns more votes than any other American League player for this year’s Major League Baseball All-Star Game.

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July 8, 2010

59% of West Virginia Voters Want Special Election to Replace Byrd

West Virginia Governor Joe Manchin thinks there should be a special election to replace the late Robert Byrd in the U.S. Senate, and a solid majority of the state’s voters agree with him.

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July 8, 2010

Illinois Senate: Giannoulias (D) 40%, Kirk (R) 39%

The Illinois Senate race remains a virtual tie, but Republican Mark Kirk’s support appears to be trending down.

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July 8, 2010

40% in Pennsylvania Approve of Governor, 60% Disapprove

Sixty percent (60%) of voters in Pennsylvania now disapprove of the job Democrat Ed Rendell is doing as governor, the highest level of disapproval measured since early October 2009.

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July 8, 2010

56% Oppose Justice Department Challenge of Arizona Law; 61% Favor Similar Law In Their State

Voters by a two-to-one margin oppose the U.S. Justice Department’s decision to challenge the legality of Arizona’s new immigration law in federal court. Sixty-one percent (61%), in fact, favor passage of a law like Arizona’s in their own state, up six points from two months ago.

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July 8, 2010

Thomas' Principled Jurisprudence in Arms Case By Michael Barone

In 1978, Justice Lewis Powell wrote an opinion in the Bakke case asserting that the need for diversity could justify racial preferences in university admissions. No other justice joined this opinion, but because the other justices were split 4-4, Powell's opinion decided the case, and in time his argument has been embraced by a majority of the court. A regrettable result, in my view, but a consequential one.

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July 8, 2010

75% Blame State Budget Problems on Politicians’ Unwillingness to Cut Spending

Most Americans report their state currently has a budget crisis, and they continue to blame politicians more than taxpayers for the problem.