GOP Voters Favor Trump Over DeSantis Nearly 2-to-1
Most Republican voters like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, but when it comes to who should get the GOP’s 2024 nomination, they prefer former President Donald Trump by a 28-point margin.
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June 5, 2023
June 3, 2023
What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending June 3, 2023
In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...
June 2, 2023
Biden Approval Up Again in May
When tracking President Biden’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture...
June 2, 2023
Debt Ceiling Deal Boosts McCarthy Ratings
A majority of voters approve of the compromise deal to raise the federal debt ceiling, and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s favorability has hit a new high.
June 2, 2023
Only One Republican Candidate Gets Results By Michael Barone
The Wollman Rink episode, or, rather, the unduly optimistic conclusion I drew from it, explains a lot about Donald Trump's presidency and why he may not do as well against Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.) in the contest for the Republican nomination, as current poll numbers suggest.
June 1, 2023
Most Americans Oppose Transgender Agenda
By a 3-to-1 margin, Americans believe there are only two genders, and a majority support laws against transgender treatment for minors.
June 1, 2023
Plotting the GOP’s Most Efficient Electoral College Pathways By Seth Moskowitz
How the 2020 map provides a template for 2024.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— In 2020, Donald Trump would have needed to flip 37 additional Electoral College votes to reach 269, thereby winning an effective majority in the Electoral College, thanks to a likely Republican advantage if the Electoral College produces a tied outcome.
— The 2024 Electoral College map will reflect the 2020 census’s reallocation of electoral votes. Using this new map, the GOP will need to flip 34 electoral votes (down from 37) to reach 269.
— Using 2020 presidential election results, we can map out the different paths that Trump had to winning 269 electoral votes. These routes give us a template for how presidential candidates might plan their strategies for next year’s election.
— Flipping Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin is likely the GOP’s best chance at winning back the presidency. But there are other viable routes to 269 as well that involve Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.
May 31, 2023
Crime: 48% Now Give Biden ‘Poor’ Rating on Issue
Violent crime is still getting worse, most voters say, and nearly half rate President Joe Biden as doing a poor job of handling the issue.
May 31, 2023
Only 17% Now Think Russia Winning War in Ukraine
In the wake of Russian claims to have captured Bakhmut, a plurality of American voters see the war in Ukraine as a stalemate.
May 30, 2023
Stop Scaring Our Kids to Death By Stephen Moore
As nearly every standardized test is showing, our schools are doing an abysmal job teaching kids how to read or do math. In some cases, kids graduating from high school can barely read their diplomas.
May 30, 2023
Debt Ceiling: Most Voters Wouldn’t Mind a Shutdown
As Congress weighs whether to approve a compromise agreement to raise the federal debt limit, a majority of voters would prefer a government shutdown to higher spending.
May 29, 2023
28% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction
Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending May 25, 2023.
May 29, 2023
Memorial Day More Important Than Ever, Americans Say
As the nation celebrates a day honoring its military heroes, the importance of Memorial Day is rated higher than ever.
May 27, 2023
What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending May 27, 2023
In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...
May 26, 2023
Most Don’t Think High School Grads Are Ready for Work, College
With high school graduation season upon us, most Americans doubt that new graduates are prepared either to enter the job market or succeed in college.
May 26, 2023
Mugged by Reality? Or Respectful of Common Sense? By Michael Barone
A conservative, to paraphrase and slightly alter Irving Kristol's saying, is a liberal who has been mugged by reality -- especially by a reality that is plain to the vast bulk of ordinary people but remains inexplicably invisible to liberal intellectuals and politicians.
May 25, 2023
Leaning Into State Trends: The West Coast By J. Miles Coleman
Also some larger observations on how all the states have trended.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— The West Coast states have all been Democratic-leaning in nearly every recent presidential election.
— One exception was Oregon, which leaned slightly right of the nation in 2000, although it is now a solidly blue state.
— Looking nationally, Biden was the best-performing recent Democratic nominee in several Sun Belt states — many of which will be at the center of the 2024 campaign.
— Donald Trump, between his two elections as the GOP nominee, turned in the best recent Republican performances in half the states — this includes much of the electorally-critical Rust Belt.
May 25, 2023
Younger Voters More Influenced by Social Media
The political influence of social media has grown in recent years, especially voters under 40.
May 25, 2023
Durham Report: 63% Believe Russia Smear Was ‘Hit Job’ Against Trump
A majority of voters want consequences for Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) officials who promoted false accusations of “Russian collusion” against former President Donald Trump.
