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April 27, 2012

Florida: Romney 46%, Obama 45%

Likely Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney now runs even with President Obama in the key swing state of Florida. 

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Romney with 46% of the vote, while Obama earns 45% support. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on April 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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April 27, 2012

Partisan Gender Gap Not Just About Women By Alfred J. Tuchfarber

It's interesting to hear politicians, political analysts and journalists use the term "gender gap." They do so with great frequency, and it is almost always explicitly, implicitly or contextually focused on women. It is true, of course, that women usually vote 8% to 12% more Democratic than do men.

April 27, 2012

Voters Understand the Immigration Debate; Politicians Don't By Scott Rasmussen

As the U.S. Supreme Court wrestles with the Obama administration's challenge of Arizona's crackdown on illegal immigration, the overall issue of immigration remains misunderstood by both political parties in Washington.

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April 26, 2012

Radio Update: Majority Believes GM Should Have Gone Through Regular Bankruptcy Procedures

Listen to the latest edition of The Rasmussen Report with noted pollster Scott Rasmussen on the WOR Radio Network. Stations interested in adding “The Rasmussen Report” features to their lineup should contact Willis Damalt at the WOR Radio Network at 212-798-8376 or via email at wdamalt@worradionet.com.

April 26, 2012

Most NYC Voters View Firefighters, Police Favorably

New York City voters offer high praise to those who serve and protect them.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that an overwhelming 95% of Likely Voters in New York City have a favorable opinion of their city’s firefighters, including 71% who view them Very Favorably. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in New York City was conducted on April 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

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April 26, 2012

Radio Update: The Unsettling News About Consumer Confidence

Listen to the latest edition of The Rasmussen Report with noted pollster Scott Rasmussen on the WOR Radio Network.

April 26, 2012

41% Think Medicare is a Good Deal for Working Americans

Voters continue to have mixed feelings about Medicare, and most still aren't confident they'll get the benefits they're entitled to.

Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely U.S. Voters consider Medicare a good deal for working Americans, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Thirty-three percent (33%) disagree, but one-in-four (26%) are not sure. These findings are unchanged from last month. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 22-23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

April 26, 2012

60% Say Focus of Immigration Policy Should Be Border Control

Even as the U.S. Supreme Court debates the legality of Arizona's crackdown on illegal immigrants, most voters continue to support a welcoming immigration policy, but they also still feel immigration policy should focus first on border control.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 20-21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

April 26, 2012

59% View Money-Losing Auto Bailouts As a Failure

Many Americans view the bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler more favorably these days, believing incorrectly that the government made money or broke even on them. But the view grows a lot more negative when the actual price tag is attached.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 20% of American Adults now believe the government made money on the billions in taxpayer dollars given to the two automakers to keep them afloat, while 19% more say the government broke even. However, a plurality (46%) recognizes that the government lost money on the auto bailouts. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted on April 23-24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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April 26, 2012

Shrinking Problem: Illegal Immigration From Mexico By Michael Barone

The illegal immigration problem is going away.

That's the conclusion I draw from the latest report of the Pew Hispanic Center on Mexican immigration to the United States.

Pew's demographers have carefully combed through statistics compiled by the U.S. Census Bureau, the Department of Homeland Security and the Mexican government, and have come up with estimates of the flow of migrants from and back to Mexico. Their work seems to be as close to definitive as possible.

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April 26, 2012

Radio Update: Were the Auto Bailouts a Success or a Failure?

Listen to the latest edition of The Rasmussen Report with noted pollster Scott Rasmussen on the WOR Radio Network. Stations interested in adding “The Rasmussen Report” features to their lineup should contact Willis Damalt at the WOR Radio Network at 212-798-8376 or via email at wdamalt@worradionet.com.

April 26, 2012

77% Say Most Politicians Don’t Keep Campaign Promises

The bad news is that voters still overwhelmingly don’t trust what most politicians say. The good news is that they’re a bit more convinced that it’s not the politicians’ fault.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only eight percent (8%) of Likely U.S. Voters think most politicians keep their campaign promises. Seventy-seven percent (77%) say most don’t keep the promises they make on the campaign trail. Fourteen percent (14%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 22-23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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April 26, 2012

Plan of Attack: Obama, Romney & The Electoral College By Kyle Kondik, Larry J. Sabato and Geoffrey Skelley

The London Olympics isn't the only venue for world-class sport this year. Political gold is waiting to be won in November, and the only way to grab the top U.S.A. medal is to master Electoral College math. It is both deceptively easy and maddeningly complex. A candidate has to accumulate 270 votes in a tiny universe of 538, but those 538 will be generated by 130 million votes cast in 51 separate entities. A game that looks like checkers is really multi-dimensional chess.

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April 26, 2012

Immigration Becomes a New Story By Froma Harrop

Those who saw mass migration from Mexico as a threat and those who did not all agreed on one thing: It was unstoppable without dramatic action by the federal authorities. They turned out to be wrong about that. The title of a new report from the Pew Hispanic Center, "Net Migration From Mexico Falls to Zero -- and Perhaps Less," says it all.

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April 25, 2012

Radio Update: Voters See Media Obsessed With Controversy, Not Substance

Listen to the latest edition of The Rasmussen Report with noted pollster Scott Rasmussen on the WOR Radio Network. Stations interested in adding “The Rasmussen Report” features to their lineup should contact Willis Damalt at the WOR Radio Network at 212-798-8376 or via email at wdamalt@worradionet.com.

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April 25, 2012

29% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Likely U.S. Voters say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, April 22.

This finding is up two points from last week and back to the level found for the previous three weeks.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports April 16-22, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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April 25, 2012

Radio Update: Control of the Senate is Up For Grabs

Listen to the latest edition of The Rasmussen Report with noted pollster Scott Rasmussen on the WOR Radio Network. Stations interested in adding “The Rasmussen Report” features to their lineup should contact Willis Damalt at the WOR Radio Network at 212-798-8376 or via email at wdamalt@worradionet.com.

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April 25, 2012

60% in New York City Approve of Mayor Bloomberg

New Yorkers generally like their three-term mayor, but they like President Obama even more.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in New York City finds that 60% at least somewhat approve of Michael Bloomberg, the city’s mayor for the past 10 years. Thirty-nine percent (39%) disapprove of the Republican mayor. These findings include 24% who Strongly Approve Bloomberg’s job performance and 17% who Strongly Disapprove. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in New York City was conducted on April 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

April 25, 2012

48% Believe Availability of Student Loans Has Driven Up Tuition Costs

Both President Obama and likely Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney are backing lower interest rates on some student loans, but nearly half of Americans nationwide believe the availability of student loans has driven up tuition costs for everyone. In fact, most Americans believe it’s better for students to work and attend school for a longer period of time rather than graduate in four years with loads of student debt.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of American Adults shows that a plurality (48%) believes the availability of student loans has helped increase the cost of tuitions. Twenty-one percent (21%) disagree, but 31% more are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted on April 21-22, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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April 25, 2012

Virginia: Romney 45%, Obama 44%

Mitt Romney, with Rick Santorum out of the Republican race, has closed the gap with President Obama in the battleground state of Virginia. The two men are now essentially tied.

The latest telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Old Dominion finds Romney earning 45% support, while Obama picks up 44% of the vote.  Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on April 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.