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July 11, 2012Florida Senate: Mack (R) 46%, Nelson (D) 37%
Republican Congressman Connie Mack draws his highest level of support yet against incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in Florida’s 2012 U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Mack earning 46% of the vote to Nelson’s 37%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on July 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 11, 201235% View Tea Party Favorably, 42% Do Not
Voters have a slightly more favorable view of the Tea Party than they did at the first of the year, but that support is still well below where it was three years ago when the grass roots movement came into existence to protest President Obama’s growth of government. A wide partisan difference of opinion remains.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 35% of Likely U.S. Voters now share a favorable opinion of the Tea Party movement. That compares to 31%  in January, the all-time low in favorability to date, and a high of 51% in mid-April 2009.
Forty-two percent (42%) view the Tea Party unfavorably, while another 24% are not sure what they thing of the group.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 9-10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 11, 2012Budget Insanity By John Stossel
Last year, Congress agreed to $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts, unless politicians find other things to cut. They didn't, of course. So now, with so-called sequestration looming in January, panic has set in. Even the new "fiscally responsible" Republicans vote against cutting Energy Department handouts to companies like Solyndra and subsidies to sugar producers. Many claim that any cut in military spending will weaken America and increase unemployment.

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                            July 11, 2012Partisans See Election 2012 As Very Important, Unaffiliateds Not So Sure
As they do every presidential election season, political activists quickly start talking about how this election is the most important of their lifetime. They rile up their own team with this perspective but fail to connect with many unaffiliated voters. (Sign up for free daily e-mail update with all the latest polling highlights).
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that, in terms of the impact on their own lives, 74% of Republicans say Election 2012 is Very Important. Virtually the same number of Democrats (73%) agree. However, among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, just 42% believe the upcoming election is that important.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This national survey of 1,000 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on July 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 10, 201247% Rate Obama’s Leadership Good Or Excellent
Although President Obama’s ratings on the economy are at the lowest level since last November, a strong plurality of voters continues to give him positive marks for his leadership. Not surprisingly, there's also still a wide partisan difference of opinion on this question.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Likely U.S. Voters say Obama is a good or excellent leader, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Thirty-seven percent (37%) describe his leadership is poor. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on July 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            July 10, 201266% Say Spending Cuts Should be Considered in All Government Programs
Voters continue to support across-the-board federal spending cuts to help solve the federal budget crisis.  A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 66% of Likely U.S. Voters think that, as the nation searches for solutions to the federal budget crisis, thoughtful spending cuts should be considered in every program of the federal government.
That's consistent with previous surveying but is the highest level of support since Rasmussen Reports first asked the question in August 2011. Twenty percent (20%) disagree and do not think spending cuts should be considered in all programs. Another 14% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
July 10, 2012Rasmussen Reports Launches Special 2012 Election Page
With the 2012 elections just months away, Rasmussen Reports is pleased to announce the launch of its Election 2012 page on RasmussenReports.com. Devoted to the top 2012 political contests nationwide, the new section offers far more robust information and visuals than were available for past elections. It includes easy-to-read graphic electoral maps and color-coded balance of power tables, as well as links to individual articles about the races and high-level snapshots of our individual state coverage.

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                            July 10, 2012MLB All-Star Game: 51% Predict American League Win, 41% Pick National League
Most baseball fans have no problem with the Major League Baseball All-Star Game determining which league’s team gets home field advantage in the World Series, and just over half predict the American League team will pick up that advantage tonight.
The survey of 639 Baseball Fans was conducted on July 5, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 10, 2012Florida: Romney 46%, Obama 45%
Florida’s a key swing state in this year’s presidential contest, and it remains in play with President Obama and Mitt Romney still running almost even there.
Florida is considered a Toss-Up State in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Currently, states with 207 Electoral Votes are projected to go for President Obama while states with 170 Electoral Voters are projected to go for Mitt Romney. States with 161 Electoral Votes are projected to be either Toss-Ups or Leaners.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 46% support to the president’s 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer someone else, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on July 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            July 10, 2012Only 7% Support Legal Reasoning That Led to Greater Government Regulation
In 1942, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the federal government could regulate how much wheat a farmer could grow on his own property for his own use. That ruling dramatically enhanced the power of the federal government by making almost all economic activity subject to federal regulation as “interstate commerce." However, voters today overwhelmingly reject that underlying argument.
July 10, 2012Where They Play, Rich Conservatives Like Zoning by Froma Harrop
The weekend's memorable photo is of Mitt Romney driving his massive powerboat past a privately built castle, not unlike his own, on New Hampshire's Lake Winnipesaukee. On Sunday, he moseyed across the Long Island Sound to the beachy pleasure dome of billionaire conservative David Koch, in Southampton, N.Y. -- for a $75,000-a-couple dinner to raise money from like-minded Republicans. Not far away, Koch's brother Bill, a fellow funder of conservative causes, holds court in the exclusive waterfront enclave of Osterville, on Cape Cod.

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                            July 10, 2012Few Voters Expect Better Economy Regardless of Who Wins White House
Voters are not convinced that the economy will improve no matter who's elected president in November.  A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 32% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the economy will get better if President Obama is reelected, but 37% believe it will get worse.
If likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney wins the election, 36% expect the economy to improve, but 35% believe the opposite.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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                            July 9, 2012Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 43%, Democrats 40%
Republicans lead Democrats by three points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, July 8.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 40% would choose the Democrat instead.
The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from June 25-July 1, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            July 9, 201235% of Baseball Fans Say Josh Hamilton AL MVP So Far, NL Wide Open
Texas Rangers slugger Josh Hamilton is running away with the vote for American League Most Valuable Player at this season’s halfway point, but the National League honor is still up for grabs. Thirty-five percent (35%) of Baseball Fans say Hamilton has been the AL MVP so far this season, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. a New York Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano is a distant second with 16% of the vote. Detroit Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera is viewed as the MVP by 11% of fans. No other top performers draw five percent (5%) of the vote. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 639 Baseball Fans was conducted on July 5, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            July 9, 201232% of Workers Say Their Next Job Will Be Better Than Current One
Younger Americans continue to feel optimistic about their future employment opportunities, but fewer workers of all ages are looking for another job.  
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Employed Adults finds that 32% say their next job will be better than their current one.  Nineteen percent (19%) disagree, while 24% plan to retire after they leave their current position.  Another 25% are not sure.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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                            July 9, 201253% Want Health Care Law Repealed
Most voters still aren’t convinced: They want President Obama’s national health care law repealed as they have said consistently since the measure was passed by Congress over two years ago.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 53% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat favor the repeal of the health care law, while 41% are opposed. These findings include 43% who Strongly Favor repeal and 31% who Strongly Oppose it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 7-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 9, 2012With Little to Say, Obama Eats Grits in Rust Belt by Michael Barone
"A step in the right direction." That's what Barack Obama said in Poland, Ohio, about Friday's Bureau of Labor Statistics unemployment report, which showed only 80,000 net new jobs and unemployment remaining at 8.2 percent.

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                            July 9, 201280% Expect Repeal of Health Care Law If Romney Wins
Many Republican activists have voiced concern over the Romney campaign’s rhetorical stumbles since the U.S. Supreme Court upheld President Obama’s health care law. However, voters still overwhelmingly believe the likely GOP nominee’s claim that he will repeal the law if elected.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 80% of Likely U.S. Voters nationwide think it’s likely the health care law will be repealed if Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress. Just 15% see it as unlikely. The figures include 52% who believe a GOP sweep would make repeal Very Likely.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. 
 
This national survey of 1,000 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on July 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            July 9, 2012Voters Favor Bush Tax Cuts, Close Call When It Comes to the Wealthy
President Obama is calling for an extension of the Bush administration tax cuts for all those who earn under $250,000 a year. House Republicans are planning a vote that would extend those same tax cuts for all Americans regardless of income.

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                            July 8, 201240% Trust Local Government More Than State, Federal
Americans have more trust in local government than any other level in our federalist system.
Forty percent (40%) trust local government the most. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 23% trust the federal government the most and only 12% have most confidence in state governments.  (To see question wording, click here.)
The survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted on July 5, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.