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October 9, 2012

Nevada: Romney 47%, Obama 47%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now tied in Nevada.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows both candidates with 47% support. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

 

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Nevada was conducted on October 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 9, 2012

55% Still Think Obama Is The Likely Winner in November

Despite his stumbling debate performance, President Obama is still considered the favorite in the race for the White House.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Likely U.S. Voters believe that regardless of who they want to win, Obama is most likely to win the presidential election this year. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 35% think his Republican challenger Mitt Romney is the most likely winner. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 9, 2012

Highly Debatable: The Big Liar's Biggest Lies By Joe Conason

"It's not easy to debate a liar," complained an email from one observer of the first presidential debate -- and there was no question about which candidate he meant. Prevarication, falsification, fabrication are all familiar tactics that have been employed by Mitt Romney without much consequence to him ever since he entered public life, thanks to the inviolable taboo in the mainstream media against calling out a liar (unless, of course, he lies about sex).

October 9, 2012

Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 51%, McMahon (R) 46%

Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy has now moved to five-point lead over Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon in Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows Murphy with 51% of the vote, while McMahon earns 46% support. Two percent (2%) favor another candidate in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The two candidates met in their first debate late Sunday morning. This poll was conducted later that day.

Additionally, Murphy’s lead is largely derived from “leaners.” These are people who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but indicate they are leaning towards one candidate when asked a follow-up question. Without leaners, it’s Murphy 46% and McMahon 45%. This is consistent with the notion that the state’s underlying Democratic tilt will help Murphy in the final analysis.

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

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October 9, 2012

Mitt's Master Act Not Beloved by All By Froma Harrop

It can't be by accident that Obama campaign adviser Robert Gibbs made the Sunday talk-show rounds using the word "masterful" to describe Mitt Romney's performance at the presidential debate. True, President Obama looked tired, while Romney was brimming with old ideas. But Romney's master-of-the-universe act was not universally admired. It will be turned on him.

October 8, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 44%, Republicans 43%

Democrats now lead Republicans by one point on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending October 7, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 43% would choose the Republican instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 1-7, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 8, 2012

58% Think Government Workers Make More Than Those in Private Sector

Most Americans continue to believe that government employees don't work as hard as those in the private sector but earn more money and have more job security anyway. Sixty-four percent (64%) of American Adults say workers in the private sector work harder than government employees, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Just 11% think government workers work harder, while 25% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 2-3, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 8, 2012

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 52%, Mack (R) 41%

Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson is pulling away in Florida’s U.S. Senate race, now crossing the 50% mark for the first time.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Nelson earning 52% of the vote, while Republican Connie Mack picks up 41% support.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 8, 2012

Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 48%

The Colorado presidential race remains neck-and-neck as President Obama moves slightly ahead of Mitt Romney for the first time this year.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters shows the president with 49% of the vote to Romney’s 48%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on October 7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  onducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 8, 2012

Romney's Debate Win Opens Cracks in Obama Firewall By Michael Barone

Wednesday night's presidential debate in which Mitt Romney shellacked Barack Obama attracted the biggest audience since the debate between Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan seven days before the 1980 election.

October 8, 2012

Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 47%

President Obama is up slightly in the battleground state of Iowa.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters shows the president with 49% support to Republican challenger Mitt Romney’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on October 7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 8, 2012

54% Favor Repeal of Health Care Law

Most voters continue to favor repeal of President Obama’s national health care law, with fewer than one-in-five who believe the law will reduce health care costs as its supporters promised.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters favor repeal of the health care law, while 39% oppose it. This includes 43% who Strongly Favor repeal and 31% who are Strongly Opposed. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

 

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 7, 2012

In Crowded Field, Football Fans Make 49ers Top Super Bowl Pick

There’s a lot of football to be played before the replacement referees are forgotten and the Super Bowl champion is determined, but the early fan favorites are the San Francisco 49ers. However, there are a lot of teams in the hunt.

Fifteen percent (15%) of National Football League fans expect the ‘Niners to rebound from last year’s tough loss in the NFC Championship game and go all the way this year, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Twelve percent (12%) think Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are likely to win yet another title this year. The Patriots won the AFC last year before losing in the Super Bowl. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Eleven percent (11%) pick the Houston Texans. The Baltimore Ravens (10%) and Green Bay Packers (10%) are the only other teams with double digit support.

Five percent (5%) think the defending champs, the New York Giants, will win for the second year in a row.

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This survey of 643 Professional Football Fans was conducted on October 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 7, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 46%, Mandel (R) 46%

The U.S. Senate race in Ohio is now a tie.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 46% support. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Ohio now shifts back from Safe Democrat to a Toss-up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.  With the addition of Ohio, seven Senate races nationwide are Toss-Ups, but at this point it still appears likely that Democrats will retain control of the Senate.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 6, 2012

75% Say Frivolous Lawsuits Are Driving Up Health Care, Insurance Costs

Most Americans think it’s too easy to file a lawsuit nowadays, and even more believe dubious lawsuits are driving up the price of health care, insurance and other products and services.

October 6, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 6, 2012

Close as the presidential race has been for months, it doesn’t take much to make a difference, and Mitt Romney’s debate win this past week appears to have impacted the numbers in the Key Three Swing States – Florida, Ohio and Virginia. It’s too early to say what impact Friday’s government jobs report will have.

New Rasmussen Reports polling taken after the debate finds Romney up two in Florida, up one in Virginia and down one in Ohio. It is virtually impossible for Romney to win the White House without winning at least two of these three states. They remain Toss-Ups in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections

Romney remains slightly ahead in Missouri and North Carolina, while Obama has more comfortable leads in New Mexico and Washington State.

October 5, 2012

22% Predict Yankees Will Win World Series

Playoff action begins tonight for Major League Baseball’s wildcard teams, but the American League East champion New York Yankees are the slight favorite to win the World Series this year. However, that’s not necessarily the outcome many baseball fans are hoping for.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 22% of baseball fans believe the Bronx Bombers will win their 28th World Series title this year. Right behind are the Washington Nationals, a team that 17% of fans think will win its first-ever championship. Fourteen percent (14%) believe the Texas Rangers will win the World Series after two unsuccessful trips over the past two seasons. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

October 5, 2012

Florida: Romney 49%, Obama 47%

Mitt Romney now has swung back into the lead in the first post-debate survey of the presidential race in Florida.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Florida Likely Voters shows Romney with 49% of the vote to Obama’s 47%. Three percent (3%) are undecided at this point. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  onducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 5, 2012

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 52%, Allen (R) 45%

Democrat Tim Kaine has now pulled away from Republican rival George Allen and has crossed the 50% mark for the first time.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Kaine with 52% support to 45% for Allen.  Three percent (3%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 5, 2012

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 49%

The critical battleground state of Ohio remains a draw, with President Obama holding a one-point lead in the first post-debate survey of the contest there.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken last night, finds Obama with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 49%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  onducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.