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January 14, 2013

History Suggests That Entitlement Era Is Winding Down By Michael Barone

It's often good fun and sometimes revealing to divide American history into distinct periods of uniform length. In working on my forthcoming book on American migrations, internal and immigrant, it occurred to me that you could do this using the American-sounding interval of 76 years, just a few years more than the Biblical lifespan of three score and 10. 

January 14, 2013

Voters Strongly Favor More Health Insurance Choices

Voters continue to have mixed feelings about President Obama’s national health care law but still strongly feel that individuals should have a variety of choices when it comes to health insurance.

Forty-six percent (46%) of Likely U.S. Voters view the health care law favorably, while 48% have an unfavorable opinion of it, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. This includes 16% with a Very Favorable opinion and 33% with a Very Unfavorable one. These attitudes are unchanged from a month ago. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 11-12, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 13, 2013

26% Owe More Money Than Last Year

One-in-four American Adults (26%) now owe more money than they did a year ago, and few predict interest rates will go down in the near future.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 33% owe less, while 39% owe about the same amount they did last year. This remains generally unchanged from previous surveys. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Rasmussen Challenge is coming back next week. Stay Tuned!

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 8-9, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 13, 2013

Most Voters Think U.S. Economy Fair to Women, Blacks, Hispanics

While voters have mixed views on the overall fairness of the U.S. economy, most believe it is fair to women, blacks and Hispanic Americans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 64% of Likely Voters say the U.S. economy is at least somewhat fair to women, although that includes just 15% think it’s Very Fair.  Thirty-one percent (31%) say the economy is not fair to women, with six percent (6%) who say it’s Not At All Fair.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Rasmussen Challenge is coming back next week. Stay Tuned!

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 7-8, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 12, 2013

68% Say Cutting Government Spending Solution To Economic Problems

Just under half of U.S. voters fear the federal government will not do enough to help the nation’s troubled economy, but those voters do not think more spending is the solution. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 48% of Likely Voters say, in reacting to the nation’s current economic problems, what worries them more is that the federal government will not do enough.  That finding is just below a high of 50% measured last month.  Thirty-nine percent (39%) are afraid the government will do too much, while 13% are not sure.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Rasmussen Challenge is coming back next week.  Stay Tuned!

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 9-10, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 12, 2013

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending January 12

When it comes to politics, America is clearly two different nations without much middle ground.

Half of all likely voters now give President Obama positive marks for leadership, his highest ratings since the early months of his presidency. But take a closer look: Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Democrats and 53% of voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties give Obama good or excellent marks for leadership. Just 16% of Republicans agree.

Obama’s job approval ratings in the daily Presidential Tracking Poll are also running at the highest levels of his presidency. But on Friday, for example, while 86% of Democrats approved of the job the president is doing, 83% of GOP voters disapproved. Unaffiliated voters were evenly divided.

January 11, 2013

72% Expect to Pay More for Groceries A Year From Now

Americans continue to see their grocery bills go up and don’t expect that to change over the next year. Most also lack confidence that the Federal Reserve Board can keep inflation under control.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 86% of American Adults say they are paying more for groceries than they were a year ago, and 72% expect that to go up even more over the next year. Only three percent (3%) think they will pay less in a year’s time. Twenty-one percent (21%) expect to be spending about the same amount. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 8-9, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 11, 2013

Voters Have Mixed Feelings About More Money for Schools

Just 10% of Likely Voters correctly recognize that the United States spends on average about $9,000 per pupil each year in elementary and high schools. But voters are narrowly divided when asked if spending more on schools will improve student performance.

Thirty-four percent (34%) think America spends less than $9,000 annually per pupil, while 16% say it spends more, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. A whopping 40% won’t even hazard a guess. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 9-10, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 11, 2013

75% Think Debt Ceiling Deal Is Likely

The U.S. government will reach its current $16.4 trillion debt ceiling some time next month, but despite the current political posturing most voters think a deal to raise that ceiling is likely.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 75% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that the debt ceiling will be raised before the government begins to default on its debts. Just 13% feel that's unlikely. This includes 42% who think the debt ceiling is Very Likely to be raised and four percent (4%) who say it's Not At All Likely. Thirteen percent (13%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

As noted in Scott Rasmussen's book, The People's Money, the actual debt of the federal government is much higher than $16 trillion. However, the formal borrowing of $16.4 trillion is the only portion of the debt requiring Congressional action to increase.

The Rasmussen Challenge is coming back next week.  Stay Tuned!

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 9-10, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

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January 11, 2013

Can Hillary Pace Herself? By Froma Harrop

The football helmet that State Department staffers presented Hillary Clinton upon her return to the office was cute, but only sort of. Same went for the "Clinton" football jersey bearing the number 112. That's how many countries she's visited since becoming secretary of state.

Clinton had been away sick for a month. She had suffered a stomach virus, which dehydrated her, which made her woozy, which led to a fall, which caused a concussion, which landed her in a hospital with a blood clot in her head.

January 11, 2013

Republican Establishment Declares War on GOP Voters By Scott Rasmussen

Official Washington hailed the deal to avoid the so-called fiscal cliff as a significant bipartisan accomplishment. However, voters around the country viewed the deal in very partisan terms: Seven out of 10 Democrats approved of it, while seven out of 10 Republicans disapproved.

Just a few days after reaching that agreement, an inside-the-Beltway publication reported another area of bipartisan agreement. Politico explained that while Washington Democrats have always viewed GOP voters as a problem, Washington Republicans "in many a post-election soul-searching session" have come to agree. More precisely, the article said the party's Election 2012 failures have "brought forth one principal conclusion from establishment Republicans: They have a primary problem."

January 10, 2013

52% Are Confident in Stability of U.S. Banking Industry

Confidence in the banking industry has rebounded slightly and is back to levels seen last fall. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 52% of American Adults are now at least somewhat confident in the stability of the U.S. banking industry, including nine percent (9%) who are Very Confident. Forty-five percent (45%) still lack that confidence, with eight percent (8%) who are Not At All Confident.

January 10, 2013

75% Don’t Know Much About Likely Treasury Secretary Jack Lew

Like many presidents embarking on a second term, President Obama is shuffling people in and out of his Cabinet, but most of these high-level decision makers continue to labor in varying degrees of anonymity.

Consider the president’s chief of staff, Jack Lew, now the president’s nominee to be the next secretary of Treasury. Right now, he’s viewed favorably by 10% of Likely U.S. Voters, and that includes only one percent (1%) with a Very Favorable opinion. Fourteen percent (14%) share an unfavorable view of Lew, with six percent (6%) Very Unfavorable. But 75% don’t know enough about him to voice any kind of opinion.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

January 10, 2013

Voters Still Think Economy Fairer to Lower Income Americans Than to Middle Class

The recent “fiscal cliff” deal raised taxes on wealthier Americans, but voter attitudes about the fairness of the U.S. economy have changed little.

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January 10, 2013

'Most Antagonistic' Toward Israel? That Would Be Ronald Reagan's Defense Secretary By Joe Conason

When Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina warned on national television over the weekend that Chuck Hagel "would be the most antagonistic secretary of defense toward the state of Israel in our nation's history," either his memory served him very poorly -- or he was simply lying to smear his former Senate colleague. For whatever Hagel's perspective on Mideast policy may be, it would be absurd to compare him with the Secretary of Defense whose hardline hostility toward Israel became notorious during the Reagan administration.

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January 10, 2013

Obama Lurches Left With Pick of Hagel for Defense By Michael Barone

Barack Obama, we have been told by his admirers on the left and right, is an instinctive centrist, a moderate always ready to negotiate compromises, a politician deeply interested in the nuances of public policy.    

January 10, 2013

44% Are Fiscally Conservative

As Congress and the president move past the ‘fiscal cliff’ deal and into the debate over raising the national debt ceiling, a plurality of voters says they are fiscally conservative, but nearly as many consider themselves moderate in this area.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely Voters say they are politically conservative on fiscal issues such as taxes and government spending. Forty percent (40%) describe themselves as fiscally moderate, while just 13% say they are fiscally liberal. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 3-4, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 9, 2013

33% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-three percent (33%) of Likely U.S. Voters say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, January 6.

The latest finding shows no change from the previous week but is down 10 points from 43% the week prior to President Obama’s reelection, the highest level measured in over five years of weekly tracking.  Still, only 24% said the country was heading in the right direction this time last year.

January 9, 2013

74% Think Americans Have Constitutional Right To Own A Gun

While most Americans are clear they want tougher rules for gun ownership, they also feel as strongly as ever that the average citizen has a constitutional right to own a gun. Only a plurality, however, feels that laws governing gun ownership should be a federal responsibility.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 74% of American Adults continue to believe the U.S. Constitution guarantees the right of an average citizen to own a gun. Only 17% disagree, while nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 6-7, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 9, 2013

47% For, 38% Against Hagel Nomination When Told He Has Called for Defense Cuts

Most voters are aware that President Obama has nominated former Senator Charles “Chuck” Hagel to be secretary of defense, but a sizable number know little or nothing about him. A plurality would like their senators to vote for Hagel’s confirmation, with opinions both for and against his confirmation even higher when voters are told Hagel has called for reducing the military’s budget.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 57% of Likely U.S. Voters recognize that Obama has nominated Hagel to replace retiring Defense Secretary Leon Panetta. Seven percent (7%) think Hagel has been nominated to be secretary of State, and two percent (2%) say Hagel is the nominee for secretary of Commerce. Thirty-three percent (33%) are not sure what position he’s been nominated for. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 7-8, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.