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March 16, 2014

Senate Update: Domino Effects By Kyle Kondik

To demonstrate just how Republican this year’s Senate playing field is, consider this: Of the 36 Senate elections this year (33 regularly scheduled and three specials), the Crystal Ball sees 16 as at least potentially competitive at the moment. Of those races, 14 are currently held by Democrats, and just two are held by Republicans.

March 16, 2014

New Low: 47% Say Tax Cuts Help The Economy

Despite news that President Obama is proposing $55 billion in new government spending and higher taxes in 2015, slightly fewer voters expect their own personal taxes to up during the remainder of his presidency. Most continue to believe increased spending hurts the economy, but for the first time, fewer than half of voters believe tax cuts help the economy.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 37% of Likely U.S. Voters expect their own personal taxes to go up under the Obama administration. That’s down eight points from December and is the lowest level measured since November 2012. Still, just eight percent (8%) expect their taxes to go down under Obama, while 43% expect them to remain about the same. Thirteen percent (13%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 15, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls: Week Ending March 15

The recent lawsuit filed by a New Jersey teenager against her parents demanding living expenses and college tuition was a “say what?” moment for many Americans. It also prompted a fresh look at the relationship most hold above all others, the one between a parent and a child.

March 14, 2014

56% Say Any Good Student Who Wants to Go to College Can Find a Way

Despite the ever-growing cost of attending college, most Americans think anyone who is qualified to go can find a way to do so. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 56% of American Adults think that, in America today, just about any good student who wants to attend college can find a way to do so. Thirty-one percent (31%) disagree, but 14% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 7-8, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 14, 2014

43% Favor Gay Marriage, 43% Oppose

Voters continue to see marriage more as a religious institution than a civil one and remain closely divided on the subject of gay marriage.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters view marriage as a religious institution. Thirty-nine percent (39%) consider it a civil institution. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

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March 14, 2014

67% Think CIA May Have Undercut Senate Investigation

Voters give the Central Intelligence Agency lukewarm praise for its job performance and feel pretty sure it’s been illegally interfering with a congressional investigation of its work as a leading senator charged earlier this week.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 39% of Likely U.S. Voters rate the CIA’s performance as good or excellent, although only 13% think the spy agency is doing a poor job. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 14, 2014

62% Say It’s Very Important For Children to Grow Up in Two-Parent Home

Most Americans still believe it's better for children to grow up in a home with both parents, but parents believe this much more strongly than those who don't have kids. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 89% of American Adults feel it’s at least somewhat important that children grow up in a home with both parents, including 62% who say it’s Very Important. But the latter figure has been falling in surveys since June 2010 when 80% said it is Very Important for children to grow up with both parents. Still, just nine percent (9%) say it's not very or Not At All Important for children to grow up in a two-parent environment. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 13, 2014

20% Rate the News Media As Very Trustworthy

Most Americans still get their news from television and consider the news reported by the media generally trustworthy.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 59% of American Adults say they get most of their news from TV, including 40% who get it from cable news networks and 19% who get it from the traditional news networks. Twenty-eight percent (28%) use the Internet as their main source of news, while only seven percent (7%) still rely on print newspapers. Four percent (4%) get most of their news from radio. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 13, 2014

Just 27% Think SATs Should Be a Major Factor in College Admission

The College Board has announced that they are revamping the SATs for the second time in a decade. But most Americans don’t think the SATs are an accurate reflection of a student’s abilities, nor do they believe they should be a major factor in college admissions.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 21% of American Adults think that, generally speaking, the results of standardized tests like the SATs are an accurate reflection of a student’s knowledge and intelligence. Sixty-two percent (62%) disagree, while18% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 7-8, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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March 13, 2014

60% Say Air Travel Can Never Be Made Completely Safe from Terrorism

Most Americans don’t think the missing Malaysia Airlines jetliner was a victim of terrorism but also believe air travel can never be made completely safe from terrorists. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 26% of American Adults feel that terrorism is the most likely cause of the Malaysia Airlines crash. Thirty-three percent (33%) think mechanical failure is the most likely cause, while nine percent (9%) feel it’s due to human error. Eleven percent (11%) attribute it to something else. Twenty-two percent (22%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1000 American Adults was conducted on March 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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March 13, 2014

The Limited Meaning of Florida’s Special House Election By Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik

Rep.-elect David Jolly (R, FL-13) overcame money, some internal division among Republicans, and a name recognition and prestige deficit to defeat Alex Sink (D) in a much-watched special election in Florida’s Tampa-area 13th Congressional District Tuesday night.

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March 13, 2014

Hipsters Have Children, Too By Froma Harrop

Disapproving of white urban liberals can be a career for right-leaning sociologists. A decade or two ago, their story was that the American future lay in fast-growing exurban counties, with their cheap land and virtuous Republican voters.

Now that many American cities have become the hot, hot, hot place for jobs and ambitions, the story has to be rewritten.

 "Are cities without children sustainable?" ask Joel Kotkin and Ali Modarres in the culturally conservative City Journal.

March 13, 2014

41% in Wisconsin Would Vote for Walker for President

Most Wisconsin voters don’t want Governor Scott Walker running for president, but more say they would vote for him if he wins the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.

Just 22% of Likely Wisconsin Voters think Walker should run for president in 2016, according to a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone poll. Sixty-one percent (61%) oppose a presidential bid by Walker, while 18% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on March 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 12, 2014

29% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending March 9.

That’s up one point from 28% the previous week, the lowest level of optimism since mid-December, but down from a recent high of 32% two weeks ago. For most of the last three months, this finding has hovered in the 29% to 30% range.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 3-9, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 12, 2014

What America Thinks: Is College These Days Worth the Cost?

Higher education has long been a booming business in the United States, but with record student debt and a difficult jobs picture, many are wondering if they are getting their money's worth from college these days.

March 12, 2014

Wisconsin Governor: Walker (R) 45%, Burke (D) 45%

High-profile Republican incumbent Scott Walker is tied with Democratic challenger Mary Burke in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the 2014 governor’s race in Wisconsin.

The latest statewide poll of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds Walker and Burke each earning 45% support. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, and another five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on March 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 12, 2014

7% Think Parents Should Be Required to Support Children Over 18

An 18-year old New Jersey high school student who says she was forced to leave home is suing her parents for financial support and college tuition. Her parents claim she left home because she didn’t want to obey their rules. Few Americans believe parents should be required by law to provide financial support for their children after they turn 18, and an overwhelming majority believes parents should be allowed to impose reasonable standards of behavior on children living at home.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just seven percent (7%) of American Adults believe parents should be required by law to provide financial support for their children after they reach the age of 18. Eighty-three percent (83%) disagree. Ten percent (10%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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March 12, 2014

War on Women By John Stossel

You've probably heard that Democratic Party leaders decided that a way to win votes this November is to shout loudly that Republicans wage "war on women." Politico calls this a "proven, persuasive argument."  

March 12, 2014

60% Think More Government Spending, Higher Taxes Hurt the Economy

President Obama plans $55 billion in new government spending and higher taxes on some Americans for fiscal 2015, but most voters continue to believe that more spending and higher taxes hurt rather than help the economy. Cutting taxes, they say, is the better way to create new jobs.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 23% of Likely U.S. Voters think more government spending and higher taxes will help the economy. Sixty percent (60%) believe that combination will hurt the economy instead. Only eight percent (8%) say they will have no impact. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 6-7, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 11, 2014

61% See Shale Oil Development As Likely to End U.S. Dependence on Foreign Oil

Voters overwhelmingly believe it is important for the United States to become less dependent on oil imports and continue to see both shale oil development and government-funded programs to promote alternate energy sources as ways to get there.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 86% of Likely U.S. Voters think it’s at least somewhat important for the United States to become less dependent on oil imports, with 60% who say it’s Very Important. Just nine percent (9%) say it's not very or Not Al All Important for this country to become more energy independent. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on March 6-7, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.