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July 25, 2014

Georgia Senate: Perdue (R) 46%, Nunn (D) 40%

Businessman David Perdue, coming off his Republican runoff win on Tuesday, holds a six-point lead over Democrat Michelle Nunn in Georgia’s closely-watched U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Georgia Voters finds Perdue with 46% support to Nunn’s 40%. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and 10% are undecided.(To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Georgia was conducted on July 23-24, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 25, 2014

Most Voters See Another Cold War Coming

Most voters don’t want the United States to provide military assistance to Ukraine to help fight pro-Russian rebels there, perhaps in part because they feel more strongly than ever that the U.S.-Soviet Cold War is beginning to repeat itself.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 63% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that the United States and Russia will return to a 1950s-like Cold War relationship over the next few years. That’s up 18 points from 45% in March and up 27 points from 36% in August 2013. Just 29% see a Cold War scenario as unlikely. This includes 21% who say it’s Very Likely the United States and Russia will return to a Cold War relationship and just four percent (4%) who think it’s Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 23-24, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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July 25, 2014

Obama Democrats Lose Their Big Bet on Health Exchanges by Michael Barone

Words mean what they say. That's the basis for the decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit in Halbig v. Burwell invalidating the Internal Revenue Service regulation approving subsidies for Obamacare consumers in states with federal health insurance exchanges.

The law passed by Congress, Judge Thomas Griffith explained, provided for subsidies in states with state-created exchanges, but not in states with federal exchanges. That's factually correct, and under the Constitution, the government can't spend money not authorized by Congress.

July 25, 2014

38% Rate Obama Positively on National Security

Despite the United States' growing involvement in headline-grabbing areas like Gaza and Ukraine, voters continue to give mediocre reviews to President Obama's handling of national security issues.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 38% of Likely U.S. Voters now think the president is doing a good or excellent job in the area of national security, but slightly more (41%) still rate his performance as poor. That's generally in line with findings for the past year. A year ago, Obama earned positives of 40% and a negative of 35% for his national security dealings. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 24, 2014

51% Say There Aren't Enough Cops in America

Most Americans continue to believe crime is a serious problem in America, and half think there aren’t enough police officers to stop it.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of American Adults say crime in their community has increased over the past year, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Just 11% say the level of crime where they live has gone down, while 47% say it has stayed about the same. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on July 22-23, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

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July 24, 2014

To Share Is Not Always to Share Alike by Froma Harrop

The online rental booking service Airbnb is a fast-growing empire that pairs travelers with people wanting to profit off a room in their house -- or the whole house. Like VRBO, HomeAway and similar platforms, Airbnb occupies the lodging sector of the "sharing economy."

July 24, 2014

New Mexico Governor: Martinez (R) 43%, King (D) 43%

Incumbent Republican Susana Martinez is tied with Democratic challenger Gary King in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the governor’s race in New Mexico.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely New Mexico Voters finds Martinez and King each with 43% support. Seven percent (7%) like some other candidate, and another seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 860 Likely Voters in New Mexico was conducted on July 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 24, 2014

Americans Favor Nighttime Curfews for Teens

Baltimore is just about to institute one of the strictest youth nighttime curfew laws in the country. Most Americans think the curfew is likely to help reduce youth crime and favor such a measure in their community.  But they're not sure it's the best crime-fighting method.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 62% of American Adults think it’s at least somewhat likely that Baltimore’s new curfew will reduce the level of youth crime in the city. Thirty-two percent (32%) do not. This includes 24% who think it’s Very Likely the curfew will help reduce youth crime and six percent (6%) who say it’s Not At All Likely to do so. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on July 22-23, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

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July 24, 2014

Senate: 2014 a Year All Its Own by Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

Analysts always strain to generalize about elections. We want to “model” them, find the common elements, and project them as early as possible based on the commonalities. That’s a legitimate approach, but we need always remember that every election is different. Every single one.

July 24, 2014

47% Rate Obama's Handling of Health Care As Poor

Even as Obamacare's troubled rollout process is surrounded by new allegations of fraud, nearly half of voters view President Obama's handling of health care issues negatively.  

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 38% of Likely U.S. Voters give the president good or excellent marks for his dealings with health care. But 47% rate Obama’s handling of health care issues as poor. This marks a negative shift from June and are Obama's worst numbers since April of this year.  (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 23, 2014

26% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-six percent (26%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending July 20.

This is up one point from the previous two weeks, the lowest finding since the beginning of December. The number who say the country is heading in the right direction has been less than 30% 21 out of 29 weeks this year.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 14-20, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 23, 2014

Voters Favor Cutting U.S. Aid to Israel, Palestinians to Force Peace

Most voters oppose more direct U.S. involvement to end the fighting between Israelis and Palestinians in Gaza but favor cutting some or all U.S. funding to the two sides to force a peace settlement. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 30% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the United States should get more directly involved if the violence continues between Israel and the Palestinians. Fifty-seven percent (57%) disagree and say the United States should leave the situation alone. Thirteen percent (13%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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July 23, 2014

Policing America by John Stossel

I want the police to be better armed than the bad guys, but what exactly does that mean today?

July 23, 2014

Americans View Poverty As A Bigger Trap Than Ever

Even as thousands of new illegal immigrants flood over the border, more Americans than ever doubt whether it is possible for most people in this country to escape being poor. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of American Adults still believe it is possible for just about anyone in the United States to work their way out of poverty. That’s consistent with findings since April of last year but down from the high 40s and low 50s for several years prior to that. However, 40% now think it is not possible for just about anyone to escape poverty, up just two points from 38% in March but the highest finding in regular surveying since January 2009 just after the Wall Street meltdown. Sixteen percent (16%) more are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on July 18-19, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 22, 2014

Americans Don’t Want Feds in Their Shopping Carts

The U.S. Department of Agriculture is proposing major changes in grocery stores to encourage Americans to alter their eating habits, including talking shopping carts and giveaway prizes for those who buy healthier items. But most Americans feel it is not the federal government’s role to try to change what they eat.

Only 21% of Americans say they are more likely to shop in a grocery store that uses the government-proposed methods to encourage healthier eating. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 33% are less likely to shop in a store that employs these methods. Forty-one percent (41%) says it would have no impact on their shopping decisions. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted on July 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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July 22, 2014

Obama Dragged Down by Chaos at Home and Abroad, not by the Economy by Michael Barone

Why do you think President Obama's job rating is falling, even though the economy is recovering? the interviewer asked.

July 22, 2014

Most Say Airliner Shootdown Won’t Scare Them Out of Flying

Most Americans don’t think air travel can ever be made completely safe from incidents like last week's shootdown in Ukraine, but they also say the tragedy won’t prevent them from flying in the future.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that nine percent (9%) of American Adults believe air travel can be made completely safe from incidents like the one in Ukraine, but 71% disagree. Another 20% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on July 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

July 22, 2014

Voters See A More Divided Nation; GOPers More Enthusiastic to Vote

Voters strongly believe the United States is a more divided nation these days, and they think both sides are to blame. Most are also ready to do something about it at the ballot box in November.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Likely U.S. Voters say America is a more divided nation than it was four years ago. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just seven percent (7%) think the country is less divided now, while 21% rate the level of division as about the same.(To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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July 22, 2014

Will the Blabbermouths Wake Democrats Up? by Froma Harrop

It is often said, believed and undoubtedly right that the Republicans' ace in midterm elections is apathetic Democrats not showing up at the polls. But that once predictable waltz into November is threatened by blabbermouths of the right's seeking self-aggrandizement by hurling darts at the sleeping Democratic bear.

It's not that they don't know better. It's that their fame and fortune rests not on electing Republicans but on nurturing their brands. Brands don't take summer vacations.

July 22, 2014

44% Believe Economy Will Be Weaker A Year From Now

Is this the new normal? Americans continue to hold a gloomy assessment of the economy’s chances for improvement in both the short- and long-term.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 25% of American Adults believe the U.S. economy will be stronger a year from now. That’s virtually unchanged from 24% in March, the lowest level of optimism recorded in regular tracking since early January 2009 following the Wall Street meltdown. This finding has generally run in the mid-30s to low 40s for most of the last five-and-a-half years.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on July 18-19, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.