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October 3, 2024

Election 2024: Trump Still +2 Over Harris

The campaign for the White House remains close, as former President Donald Trump continues to hold a two-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.

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October 3, 2024

Abortion Rights, Elections, Criminal Justice, and Much More: The 2024 State Ballot Issues to Watch By Louis Jacobson

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— This year, 41 states have at least one measure on the ballot for voters to weigh in on, and many have multiple measures.

— The highest-profile issue on the ballot this year—as was the case in 2022 and 2023—is abortion. In all, 10 states have pro-abortion rights measures on the ballot, including such purple and red states as Arizona, Florida, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, and South Dakota. Nebraska also has an anti-abortion measure on the ballot.

— Voters will also be asked about a wide range of election-related issues, including ranked-choice voting, redistricting and non-citizen voting. Other common topics involve proposals on criminal justice, raising the minimum wage, recreational marijuana, and education policy.

October 2, 2024

‘Protecting Democracy’ … From Whom?

Many voters believe the biggest job for the next president is protecting democracy, but they’re deeply divided over where the threat is coming from.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 23% of Likely U.S. Voters believe protecting democracy is the most important issue for the next president to solve. The issue ranks behind illegal immigration and rising prices (both viewed as more important by 29% of voters) but ahead of abortion rights (17%). (To see survey question wording, click here.)

October 1, 2024

Economic Optimism Rises Slightly

More Americans see economic opportunity than they did three years ago, but they’e still not as optimistic as they were when Donald Trump was president.

October 1, 2024

Iran Targets America's Elections -- and Trump By Daniel McCarthy

A tyrannical foreign regime is doing everything in its power to place its favored candidate in the White House.

October 1, 2024

58% Plan to Vote Early This Year

For the first time, a majority of voters say they’ll cast their ballot before Election Day this year.

October 1, 2024

Biden Approval Remains Low in September

When tracking President Biden’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture...

October 1, 2024

Can We All Get Along? Yes, By Letting the States Decide. By Stephen Moore

At the time of this writing, the outcome of the presidential race is pretty close to being a coin flip. So what I write is not in any way influenced by who will win in November, since that is unknowable.

September 30, 2024

36% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending September 26, 2024.

September 30, 2024

47% Say Taylor Swift Endorsement Doesn’t Matter

She’s the most popular singer on the planet, but will Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala Harris make a difference in the presidential election?

September 28, 2024

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending September 28, 2024

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

September 27, 2024

Election 2024: Trump +1 in Nevada; Harris +3 in Minnesota, +6 in New Mexico

Former President Donald Trump has a one-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Nevada, while Harris leads in both Minnesota and New Mexico.

September 27, 2024

Harris’s Ghosts from Polling Past By Brian C. Joondeph

In Charles Dickens’s classic “A Christmas Carol,” curmudgeon Ebenezer Scrooge is visited by Christmas past, present, and future ghosts, transforming him into a kinder and more generous soul.

September 27, 2024

68% Back Proof of Citizenship for Voting

Voters overwhelmingly believe proof of citizenship should be required for voting in American elections, after Congress recently avoided a government shutdown over the issue.

September 27, 2024

Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan

Less than six weeks before Election Day, Former President Donald Trump has a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in North Carolina, while the two are tied in Michigan, and Harris leads in Virginia.

September 27, 2024

The Harris Campaign Might Need to Change Its Strategy By Michael Barone

In my time as a political consultant, I observed that carrying out a campaign strategy was surprisingly simple. You settled on a basic strategy, emphasizing the candidate's strong points on issues and character, framing the election in terms favorable to most voters. Then you just carried it out.

September 26, 2024

Election 2024: Trump Maintains Thin Lead Over Harris

For the third consecutive week, former President Donald Trump holds a two-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the White House.

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September 26, 2024

Places to Watch, Part One: The Industrial North By J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— While the 7 Toss-up states on our current Electoral College map will have outsized importance nationally, each of those states has several key counties that we will be watching.

— In this article, we’ll be isolating a few counties from the “Blue Wall” states that could tell the tale of the 2024 election.

— In Wisconsin, Ozaukee County is the bluest of the “WOW” counties while Door County has been a great bellwether in recent cycles.

— To win back Michigan, Donald Trump would probably like to flip back Saginaw County and keep the Cherry Coast red.

— In Pennsylvania, Kamala Harris may be poised to narrow Trump’s margin in Cumberland County, although we are curious how she’ll fare in Joe Biden’s native Lackawanna County.

September 25, 2024

Election 2024: Trump +2 in Arizona, Tied With Harris in Wisconsin

Less than six weeks before Election Day, former President Donald Trump has a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona, while the two are tied in Wisconsin.

September 25, 2024

Dogs: Still Man’s Best Friend (and Woman’s, Too)

There’s been a surprising amount of politics about pets this year, but America’s choice is clear – dogs beat cats by a wide margin.