Presidential debate number one was a slugfest, with President Trump coming out swinging. Poor Joe Biden didn’t know what hit him. He has granted few interviews during the campaign season, with scripted questions and answers on a teleprompter but no body slams from the likes of Trump the Barbarian.
Challenger edges over 270; rating changes for Senate, House.
— With the first debate now in the books, we have close to 20 rating changes across the Electoral College, Senate, and House.
— Joe Biden is now over 270 electoral votes in our ratings as we move several Midwestern states in his favor.
— Changes in the battle for Congress benefit Democrats almost exclusively. We’re moving two Senate races in their direction, as well as several House contests.
Following President Trump’s announcement of a U.S. Supreme Court nominee just weeks before Election Day, Democrat Joe Biden has jumped out to an eight-point lead in Rasmussen Reports’ weekly White House Watch survey. The survey does not include reaction to last night’s first Trump-Biden debate.
Voters again this year think debate moderators are a lot more likely to help the Democrat presidential nominee over Donald Trump. They suspect the media plays favorites, too, when fact-checking what the candidates say.
Last week, while on a business trip in Wisconsin, I learned about an insane ballot harvesting scheme that appears to be tied to a deep-pocketed liberal advocacy group subsidized by Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, Google, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and eBay former chairman Pierre Omidyar's Democracy Fund.
"A pioneer devoted to equality."
That was The Washington Post's headline about Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
The Manhattan Institute commissioned Rasmussen Reports to include nine questions related to school choice and charter schools in their late August–early September polling of likely voters in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, and North Carolina. Among these states, 46%–52% of the respondents said that they believe that giving parents the right to choose their children’s school raises the overall quality of K–12 education for students; 18%–20% believe that it lowers educational quality. Black respondents were more likely to believe that school choice raises educational quality.
The Rasmussen Reports Immigration Index for the week of September 20-24, 2020 fell to 102.2 from 104.0 the week before.
The vast majority is likely to watch this year’s presidential debates which begin tonight, but voters say the debates are less important than they were four years ago.
— There is a strong relationship between the 2020 presidential polls in the states and the 2016 results.
— This relationship makes sense given that there is an incumbent on the ballot. In these kinds of elections, we see a very high degree of consistency in the results at the state level.
— There are enough competitive states for Donald Trump to come back and win, but Joe Biden is considerably closer to the magic number of 270 than Trump, based on the polls.
In the second half of the 20th century, from 1950 to 2000, Black people in the United States experienced much larger income gains than whites did. The group that had the largest income gains, by far, was Black women. Their incomes nearly doubled over that period (after inflation). The race gap persists, but it is much lower today than it was in 1950. Does this sound like the financial result from a systemically racist country?
By nominating Federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, Donald Trump kept his word, and more than that.
Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending September 24, 2020.
Voters aren’t convinced that federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett should sit on the U.S. Supreme Court, but a sizable majority expects her to be confirmed by the Senate.
More than 80 million Americans are expected to cast mail-in ballots this fall, representing a 16-fold increase over mail-in ballots in the 2016 election.
This is probably going to cause a constitutional crisis of epic proportions.
In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...
Just over half of Americans report that schools are open for in-person teaching where they live, and most parents in these communities are sending their kids back to school despite the lingering coronavirus threat. Perhaps in part that’s because parents question whether at-home learning is working.
Voters are closely divided over whether Joe Biden’s lifetime in politics is a positive or a negative, but most agree President Trump’s lifetime in business has changed the direction of the Republican Party.
Norms, we are told, matter. Violating norms, recklessly disregarding norms -- these are charges on which President Donald Trump is often arraigned in the court of public opinion.
"As everyone knows, I made it clear that my first choice for the Supreme Court will make history as the first African American woman justice."
