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Thursday, October 08, 2015

The Debate’s in the Bag for Hillary

The polls have moved after each of the first two Republican presidential debates, shifting the players at the top and even forcing some candidates out. But don’t look for similar volatility following the first official matchup among the Democratic Party candidates next week.

Hillary Clinton is still the overwhelming favorite of likely Democratic voters nationwide, with 75% who say she is the likely nominee including 40% who say it’s Very Likely. By comparison, only 10% think Joe Biden is Very Likely to be the nominee, and nine percent (9%) feel that way about Bernie Sanders.

The upcoming debate is not likely to change a thing, with Biden not even on the stage and a 74-year-old socialist as Clinton’s strongest challenger. Former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley will spew liberal platitudes but isn’t likely to bite since he’s already triangulating his future position in a Clinton administration. The remaining Democratic candidates, Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb – both ex-Republicans, haven’t registered a heartbeat in the polls. Webb, the most conservative candidate in this race, could land a punch or two on Clinton, but that’s more likely to please GOP voters than those who will actually decide the nominee for the Democratic Party.

Before you even turn on the TV next Tuesday, you can score this debate all wrapped up.

For Rasmussen Reports, I’m Fran Coombs.