Toplines - Texas Senate - October 20-21, 2026

Texas Poll of 965 Likely Voters

Conducted October 20-21, 2026

By Rasmussen Reports

1* Thinking about the US Senate race in Texas, if the election were held today, for whom would you vote? Republican Ken Paxton, Democrat James Talarico, or Libertarian Ted Brown?

45% Ken Paxton (R)

45% James Talarico (D)

  5% Ted Brown (L)

  5% Not sure

2* The midterm elections this fall will determine whether Democrats or Republicans control Congress. How excited are you about voting in the midterm elections?

59% Very excited

26% Somewhat excited

10% Not very excited

  3% Not at all excited

  2% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence