Toplines - Arizona March 2023
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Survey of 1,001
Arizona Likely Voters
Conducted
by Rasmussen Reports and College Republicans United
March 13-14,
2023
How would
you rate the job Joe Biden has been doing as President… do you strongly approve,
somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s
been doing?
24%
strongly approve
21%
somewhat approve
10% somewhat
disapprove
44%
strongly disapprove
2% not
sure
Did you vote in the Congressional election
in November 2022?
92% yes
7% no
1% not sure
Asked of those who voted
in November 2022:
For Governor, did you vote for Republican
Kari Lake or Democrat Katie Hobbs?
51% Kari Lake
43% Katie Hobbs
5% someone else
2% not sure
For Senate, did you vote for Democrat
Mark Kelly or Republican Blake Masters?
50% Mark Kelly
46% Blake Master
3% someone else
2% not sure
For Secretary of State, did you vote
for Republican Mark Finchem or Democrat Adrian Fontes?
46% Mark Finchem
43% Adrian Fontes
5% someone else
6% not sure
For Attorney General, did you vote for
Democrat Kris Mayes or Republican Abe Hamadeh?
43% Kris Mayes
49% Abe Hamadeh
4% someone else
5% not sure
In the
contest for your district’s U.S. Representative, did you vote for the
Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate or for someone else?
39% the
Democrat
48% the
Republican
9% somebody
else
2% not
willing to say
3% not
sure
Asked of all:
For the Republican Presidential
nomination for 2024, would you prefer former President Donald Trump, Florida
Governor Ron DeSantis, or some other candidate?
33% Donald Trump
24% Ron DeSantis
35% some other candidate
8% not sure
If the 2024 presidential election was
held today, and the main candidates were President Joe Biden and Former
President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
39% Joe Biden
50% Donald Trump
9% some other candidate
1% you wouldn’t vote
1% not sure
If the 2024 election was held today,
for Congress would you vote for the Democratic candidate, the Republican
candidate or for someone else?
36% the
Democrat
48% the
Republican
7% somebody
else
3% not
willing to say
5% not
sure
On the question of illegal
immigration, is the government doing too much or too little to reduce illegal
border crossings and visitor overstays?
12% too much
67% too little
14% about right
8% not sure
In
general, do you favor immigration policies that prevent illegal border
crossings and illegal immigrants from getting jobs in the US, or do you favor
policies that allow illegal border crossings and illegal immigrants getting
jobs?
68% you
favor preventing illegal border crossings and illegal immigrants getting US jobs
18% you
favor allowing illegal border crossings and illegal immigrants getting jobs
14% not
sure
20. How would you rate the way the Biden
Administration is handling the issue of illegal immigration?
6% excellent
16% good
21% fair
52% poor
4% not sure
In trying to control illegal
immigration, should the government mandate that all employers use the federal
electronic E-Verify system to help ensure that they hire only legal workers for
U.S. jobs?
70% yes
15% no
15% not sure
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Governor
Katie Hobbs?
25% very favorable
19% somewhat favorable
12% somewhat unfavorable
34% very unfavorable
9% not sure
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Former
President Donald Trump?
30% very favorable
22% somewhat favorable
9% somewhat unfavorable
37% very unfavorable
2% not sure
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Former Gubernatorial
candidate Kari Lake?
30% very favorable
21% somewhat favorable
9% somewhat unfavorable
33% very unfavorable
7% not sure
If Former President Donald Trump
became the Republican candidate for President, as his Vice
Presidential nominee, would you prefer Former Gubernatorial candidate Kari
Lake, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, or somebody else?
20% Kari Lake
32% Ron DeSantis
35% somebody else
14% not sure
How likely is it that cheating
affected the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election?
29% very likely
20% somewhat likely
11% not very likely
31% not at all likely
9% not sure
Republicans in Arizona say problems
with the 2022 election in Maricopa County prevented many people from voting.
How likely is it that these problems affected the outcome of the election in
Arizona?
35% very likely
20% somewhat likely
11% not very likely
29% not at all likely
6% not sure
Do you
agree or disagree with this statement about the election problems in Arizona:
“This isn't about Republicans or Democrats. This is about our sacred right to
vote, a right that many voters were, sadly, deprived of on November 8th"?
36%
strongly agree
21%
somewhat agree
9%
somewhat disagree
25%
strongly disagree
8% not sure
Have
you seen compelling evidence that makes you believe there was election fraud in
the Arizona 2022 elections
35% yes
50% no
15% not
sure
How
likely is it that 2022 election irregularities in heavily Republican areas of
Arizona happened intentionally to suppress Republican votes?
31% very likely
19% somewhat likely
14% not very likely
29% not at all likely
8% not sure
How confident
are you in Arizona elections in general?
35% very confident
24% somewhat confident
23% not very confident
13% not at all confident
4% not sure
Are
Arizona elections more secure than national elections, less secure than
national elections, or about the same?
18% more secure
23% less secure
51% about the same
8% not sure
How
confident are you that Republican and Democrat elected officials in Arizona
will uncover and correct issues with Arizona state elections?
17% very confident
24% somewhat confident
27% not very confident
18% not at all confident
15% not sure
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3
percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
