Election 2024: Trump Opens 10-Point Lead - Demographics
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| National Survey of 892 U.S. Likely Voters | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conducted December 6-7 and 10, 2023 by Rasmussen Reports | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | Gender | Age | Race | Party | Ideology | Income | Education | Employment | Biden Approval | If the 2024 election were between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? | If the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate is Joe Biden and the Republican candidate is Donald Trump, and there is a strong third-party presidential candidate, how likely is it that you would vote for the third-party candidate? | If the 2024 candidates for president were Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who would you vote for? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | Male | Female | 18-39 | 40-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Other | Democrat | Republican | Other | Conservative | Moderate | Liberal | Not sure | Under $30,000 | $30,000 - $50,000 | $50,000 - $100,000 | $100,000 - $200,000 | More than $200,000 | Not sure | Attended high school, but did not graduate | High school graduate | Attended college, but did not complete | College graduate | Graduate school | Not sure | Gov't | Entrepreneur | Private Co. | Retired | Other | Strongly approve | Somewhat approve | Somewhat disapprove | Strongly disapprove | Not sure | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Some other candidate | Not sure | Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Some other candidate | Not sure | ||
| If the 2024 election were between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? | Joe Biden | 38% | 32% | 44% | 38% | 37% | 39% | 38% | 50% | 30% | 69% | 8% | 33% | 15% | 45% | 79% | 34% | 30% | 33% | 34% | 60% | 47% | 31% | 26% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 59% | 8% | 42% | 34% | 40% | 40% | 26% | 89% | 70% | 30% | 1% | 21% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 35% | 36% | 42% | 33% | 97% | 2% | 22% | 13% | 27% |
| Donald Trump | 48% | 52% | 45% | 41% | 51% | 52% | 51% | 28% | 53% | 21% | 81% | 45% | 73% | 37% | 11% | 41% | 56% | 52% | 52% | 30% | 44% | 47% | 66% | 56% | 50% | 48% | 36% | 8% | 48% | 49% | 44% | 49% | 55% | 9% | 14% | 27% | 87% | 42% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 48% | 54% | 56% | 45% | 1% | 96% | 38% | 18% | 41% | |
| Some other candidate | 10% | 11% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 12% | 31% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 37% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 32% | 62% | 9% | |
| Not sure | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 85% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 24% | |
| Total | Gender | Age | Race | Party | Ideology | Income | Education | Employment | Biden Approval | If the 2024 election were between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? | If the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate is Joe Biden and the Republican candidate is Donald Trump, and there is a strong third-party presidential candidate, how likely is it that you would vote for the third-party candidate? | If the 2024 candidates for president were Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who would you vote for? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | Male | Female | 18-39 | 40-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Other | Democrat | Republican | Other | Conservative | Moderate | Liberal | Not sure | Under $30,000 | $30,000 - $50,000 | $50,000 - $100,000 | $100,000 - $200,000 | More than $200,000 | Not sure | Attended high school, but did not graduate | High school graduate | Attended college, but did not complete | College graduate | Graduate school | Not sure | Gov't | Entrepreneur | Private Co. | Retired | Other | Strongly approve | Somewhat approve | Somewhat disapprove | Strongly disapprove | Not sure | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Some other candidate | Not sure | Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Some other candidate | Not sure | ||
| If the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate is Joe Biden and the Republican candidate is Donald Trump, and there is a strong third-party presidential candidate, how likely is it that you would vote for the third-party candidate? | Very likely | 16% | 21% | 12% | 27% | 13% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 22% | 8% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 23% | 28% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 0% | 28% | 17% | 20% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 30% | 12% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 59% | 9% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 5% | 39% | 50% | 14% |
| Somewhat likely | 17% | 16% | 18% | 23% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 24% | 29% | 17% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 21% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 13% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 27% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 28% | 25% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 12% | 33% | 16% | 23% | |
| Not very likely | 26% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 21% | 24% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 26% | 30% | 29% | 28% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 39% | 27% | 23% | 22% | 0% | 32% | 27% | 21% | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 4% | 25% | 29% | 16% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 31% | 18% | 13% | 15% | |
| Not at all likely | 35% | 32% | 38% | 22% | 39% | 43% | 38% | 29% | 31% | 34% | 42% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 38% | 37% | 34% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 45% | 45% | 29% | 29% | 37% | 43% | 57% | 26% | 32% | 29% | 44% | 36% | 48% | 22% | 14% | 41% | 29% | 39% | 41% | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 43% | 48% | 5% | 14% | 12% | |
| Not sure | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 36% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 32% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 36% | |
| Total | Gender | Age | Race | Party | Ideology | Income | Education | Employment | Biden Approval | If the 2024 election were between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? | If the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate is Joe Biden and the Republican candidate is Donald Trump, and there is a strong third-party presidential candidate, how likely is it that you would vote for the third-party candidate? | If the 2024 candidates for president were Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who would you vote for? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | Male | Female | 18-39 | 40-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Other | Democrat | Republican | Other | Conservative | Moderate | Liberal | Not sure | Under $30,000 | $30,000 - $50,000 | $50,000 - $100,000 | $100,000 - $200,000 | More than $200,000 | Not sure | Attended high school, but did not graduate | High school graduate | Attended college, but did not complete | College graduate | Graduate school | Not sure | Gov't | Entrepreneur | Private Co. | Retired | Other | Strongly approve | Somewhat approve | Somewhat disapprove | Strongly disapprove | Not sure | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Some other candidate | Not sure | Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Some other candidate | Not sure | ||
| If the 2024 candidates for president were Joe Biden, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who would you vote for? | Joe Biden | 32% | 27% | 36% | 31% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 24% | 58% | 9% | 26% | 11% | 40% | 68% | 18% | 22% | 28% | 30% | 53% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 21% | 28% | 32% | 51% | 0% | 41% | 35% | 31% | 31% | 20% | 84% | 53% | 23% | 0% | 4% | 82% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 26% | 24% | 35% | 39% | 16% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Donald Trump | 40% | 43% | 37% | 30% | 42% | 48% | 43% | 28% | 38% | 16% | 71% | 35% | 62% | 29% | 8% | 39% | 46% | 39% | 45% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 50% | 47% | 41% | 40% | 32% | 8% | 38% | 38% | 40% | 44% | 34% | 9% | 8% | 25% | 73% | 29% | 2% | 80% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 30% | 47% | 54% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 16% | 17% | 15% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 25% | 16% | 12% | 21% | 16% | 20% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 10% | 26% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 23% | 5% | 24% | 36% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 52% | 33% | 39% | 32% | 11% | 2% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
| Some other candidate | 6% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 34% | 10% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
| Not sure | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 28% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 85% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 49% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 40% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| Survey Demographics | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gender | Male | 48% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Female | 52% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age | 18-39 | 28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40-64 | 47% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 65+ | 24% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race | White | 67% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Black | 13% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 20% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LV's | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Party | Democrat | 36% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Republican | 33% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other | 31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
