59% Expect Obama to Win
On the night before America votes, 59% of likely U.S. voters expect Barack Obama to be elected president.
Elections
Most Recent Releases
November 4, 2008
November 4, 2008
One-Third of Obama Voters Plan To Be Out Today
Looks like there’ll be a lot fewer Democrats in the office on Election Day.
November 4, 2008
Election 2008: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 shows Barack Obama with 52% of the vote while John McCain is six points back at 46%. One percent (1%) of voters say they’ll select a third-party option while 1% remain undecided.
November 3, 2008
Electoral College: Obama 260 McCain 160
In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obama leads 313 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory.
November 2, 2008
Beware of Exit Polls
Will they or won’t they – take a few minutes to take an exit poll, that is?
November 1, 2008
New Rasmussen Reports Partisan Weighting Targets: 39.9% Democrat 33.4% Republican
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process.
October 31, 2008
63% Say Obama More Likely to Restrict Gun Rights
Nearly two-thirds of U.S. voters (63%) say Barack Obama is more likely than John McCain to restrict an individual’s right to own a gun, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
October 31, 2008
45% Missed All of Obama’s 30-Minute Ad
Forty-five percent (45%) of U.S. voters say they did not watch any of Barack Obama’s 30-minute television advertisement Wednesday night, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
October 30, 2008
Just 34% Like One-Party Rule in Washington
As Election Day 2008 approaches with the prospect of a Democrat in the White House and Democratic control of the Congress, only one-third (34%) of U.S. voters think rule by one political party is better for the country.
October 29, 2008
McCain Trusted More on Taxes and Economy
After several weeks of John McCain’s campaign attacks on Barack Obama’s tax plan and idea of “spreading the wealth around”, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds voters trust McCain more than Obama on taxes, 47% to 45%.
October 29, 2008
40% Say Hollywood Endorsements Turn Them Off
Now even Opie and the Fonz are for Barack Obama.
October 25, 2008
New Rasmussen Reports Partisan Weighting Targets: 40.0% Democrat 32.8% Republican
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process.
October 25, 2008
50% of Voters Believe Ayers Issue Has Hurt McCain Campaign
Just 28% of voters believe that John McCain’s campaign has been helped by talking about the relationship between Barack Obama and William Ayers.
October 23, 2008
38% Fear Crisis Early in Obama’s Presidency
Thirty-eight percent (38%) of U.S. voters are very concerned that Barack Obama will be tested with an international crisis in his first six months as president, as his running mate Joseph Biden has predicted.
October 21, 2008
53% Say Candidates Should Name Cabinet Before Election
John Kerry the next secretary of State? Republican Senator Chuck Hagel at the Pentagon? Al Gore as Energy secretary? These names and others are in the air as media speculation runs wild on the bipartisan “star” Cabinet Barack Obama has in mind if elected president. But some of these names might cost Obama votes in the key states he needs on Election Day, so Cabinet announcements will come after the votes are cast.
October 20, 2008
45% Say ACORN Trying to Register Illegal Voters
Forty-five percent (45%) of voters say the liberal activist group ACORN is trying to register voters illegally, but they’re divided over whether Barack Obama has ties to the group, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
October 19, 2008
Democrats Favor Spreading Wealth Around, GOP Disagrees
John McCain now says it's socialism, but Barack Obama insists, "When you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody."
October 18, 2008
New Rasmussen Reports Partisan Weighting Targets: 39.7% Democrat 33.0% Republican
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process
October 18, 2008
42% See Powell Endorsement of Obama As Possible
Will he or won’t he? Will moderate Republican Colin Powell, the first African-American to serve as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and secretary of State, endorse Democrat Barack Obama, the first black presidential candidate of a major U.S. political party?
October 17, 2008
47% Say Obama Won Final Debate, 33% Pick McCain as Winner
Barack Obama scored a hat trick in the presidential debates: A plurality of voters said he won all three, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
