If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.


Trump Still Well Ahead Among GOP Voters Nationally

With tomorrow’s New Hampshire primary a make-or-break event for several of the candidates, Donald Trump still holds a double-digit lead nationally over his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination. Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are in a virtual tie for second place.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters finds that Trump earns 31% support, followed by Rubio with 21% and Cruz at 20%. The rest of the candidates are in mid- to low single digits.

Six percent (6%) say they would vote for Ohio Governor John Kasich if the GOP primary in their state were held today, while Dr. Ben Carson is next with five percent (5%) support and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush is at four percent (4%). New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, the one candidate excluded from Saturday night’s debate in New Hampshire, each earn three percent (3%) of the vote. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 725 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on February 3-4, 2016. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Want to read more?

Become a Rasmussen Reader to read the article

Have an account?

Log In

Become a Reader


Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.