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2014 Midterm Elections: Senate Roundup Table - November 6, 2014

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State          
Alaska Dan Sullivan (R) Mark Begich (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure              
August 20-21, 2014 47% 45% 3% 4%              
September 23-24, 2014 48% 43% 5% 4%              
October 8-12, 2014 48% 45% 3% 3%              
October 27-31, 2014 47% 42% 5% 6%                  
Final Outcome 46.2 43.8        
Final Spread 2.2          
RCP Average* 2.4          
             
Arkansas Tom Cotton (R) Mark Pryor (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure    
February 4-5, 2014 45% 40% 5% 10%    
May 27-28, 2014 47% 43% 4% 6%    
August 25-26, 2014 43% 44% 6% 6%    
September 24-25, 2014 47% 40% 5% 8%    
October 13-15, 2014 47% 44% 4% 5%    
October 27-29, 2014 51% 44% 4% 2%    
Final Outcome 56.6% 39.4%        
Final Spread 17          
RCP Average* 7.1          
             
Colorado Cory Gardner (R) Mark Udall (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure    
10-Mar-14 41% 42% 5% 13%    
30-Jun-14 42% 43% 6% 9%    
5-Sep-14 42% 44% 4% 10%    
30-Sep-14 48% 47% 2% 3%    
23-Oct-14 51% 45% 2% 2%                  
Final Outcome 49.4% 45.2%        
Final Spread 4.2          
RCP Average* 2.5          
             
Delaware Kevin Wade (R) Chris Coons (D) Some other candidate Not sure    
September 10-12, 2014 34% 49% 4% 12%                  
Final Outcome 42.2% 55.8%        
Final Spread   13.6        
RCP Average*   19.3        
             
Georgia David Perdue (R) Michelle Nunn (D) Some other candidate Not sure    
May 21-22, 2014 42% 45% 7% 6%    
July 23-24, 2014 46% 40% 4% 10%    
September 15-16, 2014 46% 41% 4% 9%    
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2014 46% 42% 3% 9%    
October 25-27, 2014 48% 48% 0% 5%                  
Final Outcome 53% 45.1%        
Final Spread 7.8          
RCP Average* 3.2          
             
Hawaii Campbell Cavasso (R) Brian Schatz (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure    
September 9-10, 2014 28% 60% 6% 7%                  
Final Outcome 27.6% 69.9%                      
Final Spread   42.3        
RCP Average*   36.7        
             
Iowa Joni Ernst (R) Bruce Braley (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure    
June 4-6, 2014 45% 44% 3% 9%    
August 11-12, 2014 40% 40% 6% 8%    
September 17-18, 2014 43% 43% 4% 10%    
October 8-10, 2014 46% 43% 3% 7%    
October 28-30, 2014 48% 47% 3% 3%                  
Final Outcome 52.2% 43.7%                      
Final Spread 8.5          
RCP Average* 1.4          
             
Idaho Jim Risch (R) Nels Mitchell (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure    
May 28-29, 2014 54% 29% 6% 11%                  
Final Outcome 64.6% 34.4%                      
Final Spread 32.2          
RCP Average* 24.7          
             
Illinois Jim Oberweis  (R) Dick  Durbin (D) Some Other Candidate Not sure    
April 9-10, 2014 37% 51% 3% 10%    
July 29-30, 2014 38% 48% 5% 9%    
September 24-25, 2014 37% 51% 4% 8%                  
Final Outcome 43.1% 53.1%                      
Final Spread   10        
RCP Average*   9.9        
             
Kansas Pat Roberts (R) Greg Orman (I) Chad Taylor (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
April 16-17, 2014 50% - 32% 6% 11%  
August 6-7, 2014 44% - 40% 7% 8%  
September 16-17, 2014 40% 45% 3% 2% 10%  
October 20-21, 2014 44% 49% - 3% 5%                
Final Outcome 53.2% 42.5%                      
Final Spread 10.7          
RCP Average*   0.7        
             
Kentucky Mitch McConnell (R) Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) Some other candidate Not sure    
January 29-30, 2014 42% 42% 6% 10%    
May 28-29, 2014 48% 41% 5% 7%    
September 1-2, 2014 46% 41% 7% 6%    
October 15-16, 2014 52% 44% 2% 3%                  
Final Outcome 56.2% 40.7%                      
Final Spread 15.5          
RCP Average* 7.2          
             
Louisiana Bill Cassidy (R) Mary Landrieu (D) Rob Maness Some other candidate Not sure  
April 16-17, 2014 44% 40% - 5% 11%  
July 10, 2014 46% 43% - 5% 6%  
September 2-3, 2014 44% 41% - 9% 6%  
October 13-14, 2014 38% 41% 14% 2% 5%  
October 22-23, 2014 36% 43% 13% 3% 6%                
Final Outcome 41.9% 43.1% 14.1%                    
Final Spread   1.1      
RCP Average*   5.7      
           
Louisiana - Runoff Election Bill Cassidy (R) Mary Landrieu (D) Not sure  
November 16-18, 2014 56% 41% 3%    
December 2-4, 2014 56% 40% 4%                    
Final Outcome 55.9% 44.1%      
Final Spread 12        
RCP Average 20.2        
           
Massachusetts Brian Herr (R) Ed Markey (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
September 16-17, 2014 31% 49% 5% 15%                  
Final Outcome 38.0% 62.0%                      
 Final Spread   24      
RCP Average*   18      
           
Maine Susan Collins (R) Shenna Bellows (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
September 3-4, 2014 59% 31% 2% 7%                  
Final Outcome 68.3% 31.7%                      
Final Spread 36.4        
RCP Average* 29.2        
           
Michigan Terry Lynn Land (R) Gary Peters (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
January 14-15, 2014 37% 35% 8% 20%  
July 29-29, 2014 39% 45% 6% 10%  
September 17-18, 2014 39% 41% 5% 15%  
October 20-21, 2014 42% 51% 3% 4%                  
Final Outcome 41.4% 54.6%                      
Final Spread   13.4      
RCP Average*   12.4      
           
Minnesota Mike McFadden (R) Al Franken (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
August 13-14, 2014 42% 50% 2% 6%  
September 29-30, 2014 41% 49% 3% 6%                  
Final Outcome 42.9% 53.2%                      
Final Spread   10.3      
RCP Average*   10      
           
Mississippi Thad Cochran (R) Travis Childers (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
March 26-27, 2014 48% 31% 9% 12%  
June 25-26, 2014 46% 34% 10% 9%                  
Final Outcome 59.1% 38.7%                      
Final Spread 20.4        
RCP Average* 16.4        
           
Montana Steve Daines (R) Amanda Curtis (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
August 18-19, 2014 55% 35% 2% 8%                  
Final Outcome 57.9% 40.0%                      
Final Spread 18.3        
RCP Average* 18        
           
North Carolina Thom Tillis (R) Kay Hagan (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
May 7-8, 2014 45% 44% 5% 7%  
August 5-6, 2014 45% 40% 6% 9%  
September 8-10, 2014 39% 45% 6% 9%  
October 6-7, 2014 46% 48% 2% 4%  
October 28-29, 2014 46% 47% 3% 3%                  
Final Outcome 49.0% 47.3%                      
Final Spread 2.3        
RCP Average*   0.7      
           
Nebraska Ben Sasse (R) David Domina (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
April 7-8, 2014 52% 27% 5% 16%  
May 14-15, 2014 51% 34% 5% 10%  
Final Outcome 64.8% 31.1%      
Final Spread 33.7        
RCP Average No average reported. Four-out-of-five of the most recent polls were conducted by the same source  
           
New Hampshire Scott Brown (R) Jeanne Shaheen (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
September 10-11, 2014 42% 48% 5% 5%  
October 29-30, 2014 45% 52% 1% 2%  
Final Outcome 48.2% 51.8%      
Final Spread   3.4      
RCP Average*   0.9      
           
New Jersey Jeff Bell (R) Cory Booker (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
June 17-18, 2014 35% 48% 4% 13%                  
Final Outcome 42.1% 56.1%                      
Final Spread   14      
RCP Average*   15.4      
           
New Mexico Allen Weh (R) Tom Udall (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
July 21-22, 2014 33% 54% 3% 10%  
September 22-23, 2014 39% 52% 2% 7%                  
Final Outcome 44.6% 55.4%                      
Final Spread   10.8      
RCP Average* No average reported. Four-out-of-five of the most recent polls were conducted by just two sources  
           
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe (R) Matt Silverstein (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
July 15-16, 2014 58% 27% 4% 10%                  
Final Outcome 68.0% 28.5%                      
Final Spread 39.5        
RCP Average* 34        
           
Oklahoma (Special Senate) James Lankford (R) Connie Johnson (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
August 27-28, 2014 58% 29% 2% 11%                  
Final Outcome 67.9% 29.0%                      
Final Spread 38.9        
RCP Average* 31.3        
           
Oregon Monica Wehby (R) Jeff Merkley (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
May 21-22, 2014 37% 47% 5% 11%
September 2-3, 2014 35% 48% 5% 12%                  
Final Outcome 38.0% 55.2%                      
Final Spread   16.5      
RCP Average*   17.3      
           
Rhode Island Mark Zaccaria (R) Jack Reed (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
September 23-25, 2014 26% 61% 5% 9%                  
Final Outcome 29.5% 70.5%                      
Final Spread   41      
RCP Average*   40      
           
South Carolina Lindsey Graham (R) Brad Hutto (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
July 9-10, 2014 49% 30% 10% 11%                  
Final Outcome 54.5% 38.9%                      
Final Spread 15.6        
RCP Average* 17.7        
           
South Carolina (Special Senate) Tim Scott (R) Joyce Dickerson (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
July 9-10, 2014 53% 31% 6% 11%                  
Final Outcome 61.2% 37.1%                      
Final Spread 24.1        
RCP Average* 25.4        
           
South Dakota Mike Rounds (R) Rick Weiland (D) Larry Pressler (I) Some other candidate Not sure  
February 25-26, 2014 51% 31% - 6% 11%  
June 4-5, 2014 44% 29% 18% 2% 7%  
October 22-26, 2014 45% 31% 21% 0% 3%                
Final Outcome 50.4% 29.5% 17%                    
Final Spread 21.2        
RCP Average* 12.2        
           
Tennessee Lamar Alexander (R) Gordon Ball (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
April 29-30, 2014 51% 25% 8% 16%  
August 11-12, 2014 47% 32% 10% 12%                  
Final Outcome 61.9% 31.9%                      
Final Spread 30        
RCP Average* 18.5        
           
Texas John Cornyn (R) David Alameel (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
August 4-5, 2014 47% 29% 6% 19%  
October 1-2, 2014 50% 29% 6% 15%                  
Final Outcome 61.6% 34.3%                      
Final Spread 27.2        
RCP Average* 21.7        
           
Virginia Ed Gillespie (R) Mark Warner (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
January 20-21, 2014 37% 51% 2% 9%
June 11-12, 2014 36% 53% 3% 9%                  
Final Outcome 48% 49.2%                      
RCP Average*   9.7      
Final   0.8      
           
West Virginia Shelley Moore Capito (R) Natalie Tennant (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
February 19-20, 2014 49% 35% 4% 12%  
May 14-15, 2014 48% 39% 5% 9%  
August 20-21, 2014 50% 33% 6% 11%  
September 30-October 1, 2014 50% 39% 3% 8%                  
Final Outcome 62.1% 34.5%                      
Final Spread 27.6        
RCP Average* 16.6        
           
Wyoming Mike Enzi (R) Charlie Hardy (D) Some other candidate Not sure  
August 20-21, 2014 63% 27% 4% 5%                  
Final Outcome 72.3% 17.6%
Final Spread 54.7        
RCP Average* 38        
* The RCP (Real Clear Politics) average is based on the most recent major polls including those by Rasmussen Reports taken in each race.

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