For the first time this year, a generic Republican candidate and President Obama are tied in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds a generic Republican candidate picking up 44% of the vote, while Obama receives identical 44% support. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another eight percent (8%) are undecided.
Last week, the Republican held a 46% to 42% advantage, the widest gap between the candidates to date. It also marked the fifth week in a row that the GOP candidate outpolled the president. In weekly surveys since the beginning of May, support for Obama has ranged from 42% to 45%, while the Republican has earned 43% to 46% of the vote. Rasmussen Reports will provide new data on this generic matchup each week until the field of prospective Republican nominees narrows to a few serious contenders.
Republicans hold a three-point advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Saturday, July 2. Republicans have led on the ballot for every week since June 2009 with leads ranging from two to 12 points.
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The survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 27-July 2, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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