Most GOP Voters Still Think Romney Will Be The Nominee
Even before Rick Santorum’s trifecta on Tuesday, he was one of the most popular of the Republican presidential candidates, but he’s never remotely challenged Mitt Romney for the top slot when GOP voters are asked who is most likely to be their nominee. The test for Santorum in the days ahead is to see if he can convince voters otherwise.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey, taken just before the voting on Tuesday, finds that 75% of Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide believe Romney will ultimately be the GOP presidential nominee. Just 11% expect former House Speaker Newt Gingrich to win, with three percent (3%) who predict Santorum will come out on top. Only one percent (1%) think Texas Congressman Ron Paul will be the party’s standard bearer. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The national survey of 1,000 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted on February 6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.
To learn more about our methodology, click here.