In reliably Democratic California, the president’s Job Approval rating has fallen below 50%, and he holds only a modest lead over a Generic Republican candidate.
Data from the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows that just 49% of Likely Voters in California approve of the way President Obama is doing his job, while 48% disapprove. Those figures include 20% who Strongly Approve and 37% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president an Approval Index rating of -17. While weak for a Democrat in California, those numbers are still better than the president earns nationally.
Seventy-eight percent (78%) of California Democrats approve of the president's job performance, while 82% of California Republicans disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 47% approve, and 47% disapprove. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
When matched against a Generic Republican, the president earns support from 45% of California voters, while the Republican attracts 41%. However, it should be noted that the president typically performs better in polls against specific named Republicans as opposed to running against a generic opponent. Nationally, the president has consistently trailed a Generic Republican in weekly matchup surveys for nearly four months. But he's been running neck-and-neck with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney for weeks now and generally leads all other GOP hopefuls.
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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in California was derived from nightly presidential tracking poll surveys conducted October 28-November 6, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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