Election 2010

Illinois Senate: Kirk (R) 40%, Giannoulias (D) 40%

Republican Mark Kirk and Democrat Alexi Giannoulias are tied in Illinois’ race for the U.S. Senate seat once held by President Obama.

 

Tennessee Governor: Haslam (R) 56%, McWherter (D) 31%

Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam receives his highest level of support so far following his Republican primary victory last Thursday in the race for governor of Tennessee.

Iowa Senate: Grassley (R) 55%, Conlin (D) 35%

Longtime Republican Senator Charles Grassley remains comfortably out front in his bid for a sixth term in Iowa’s U.S. Senate race.

Indiana Senate: Coats (R) 50%, Ellsworth (D) 29%

Republican nominee Dan Coats continues to hold a commanding lead in Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.

New Hampshire Governor: Lynch (D) 50%, Stephen (R) 39%

New Hampshire Governor John Lynch runs slightly stronger this month in his bid for reelection against his three chief Republican opponents but still falls short of 50% in a match-up with former state Health and Human Services Commissioner John Stephen.

New Hampshire Senate: Ayotte (R) 51%, Hodes (D) 38%

Former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte continues to hold a double-digit lead over Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes in the race for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire.

Iowa Governor: Branstad (R) 52%, Culver (D) 36%

Republican Terry Branstad continues to hold a double-digit lead over Democratic incumbent Chet Culver in Iowa’s gubernatorial race.

Kansas Governor: Brownback (R) 57%, Holland (D) 34%

There are still no surprises in Kansas’ gubernatorial race, with Republican Sam Brownback continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrat Tom Holland.

South Dakota Governor: Daugaard (R) 59%, Heidepriem (D) 27%

Support for Republican Dennis Daugaard has jumped to its highest level yet in South Dakota's gubernatorial race.

Delaware Senate: Castle (R) 49%, Coons (D) 37%

Delaware's U.S. Senate race is basically unchanged from last month, with Republican Mike Castle again earning less than 50% support. But, still, the longtime GOP congressman holds a 12-point lead over his Democratic opponent.

North Carolina Senate: Burr (R) 49%, Marshall (D) 40%

North Carolina’s race for the U.S. Senate has grown a little closer this month, but Republican incumbent Richard Burr still holds a modest advantage over Democrat Elaine Marshall.

South Dakota House: Noem (R) 51%, Herseth-Sandlin (D) 42%

Republican Kristi Noem again passes the 50% mark of support this month against incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in the race for South Dakota’s only House seat.

California Governor: Brown (D) 43%, Whitman (R) 41%

The California governor’s race between Democrat Jerry Brown and Republican Meg Whitman remains a nail-biter.

Delaware Senate: Castle (R) 49%, Coons (D) 37%

Delaware's U.S. Senate race is basically unchanged from last month, with Republican Mike Castle again earning less than 50% support. But, still, the longtime GOP congressman holds a 12-point lead over his Democratic opponent.

Kansas Senate: Moran (R) 61%, Johnston (D) 28%

The first Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll in Kansas suggests the state is unlikely to break its 70-plus year streak of electing only Republicans to the U.S. Senate.

California Senate: Boxer (D) 45%, Fiorina (R) 40%

The U.S. Senate race between Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer and her Republican challenger Carly Fiorina remains close in California.

Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 45%, Strickland (D) 42%

Republican John Kasich’s support has fallen to its lowest level to date as he challenges Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in Ohio’s gubernatorial race.

How Rasmussen Reports Determines Balance of Power Rankings

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power rankings are based primarily on the latest Rasmussen Reports polling in a state. Generally speaking, if a race is within five percentage points during the summer, it’s considered a Toss-Up. A larger spread that is still in single digits will be considered Leaning in one direction or the other. A double-digit margin is enough to move the race solidly in the direction of the leader.

Ohio Senate: Portman (R) 44%, Fisher (D) 40%

Ohio’s U.S. Senate race is a little tighter for now but remains generally where it's been for months.

Michigan Governor: Snyder (R) 49%, Bernero (D) 37%

Republican Rick Snyder starts the general election campaign with a double-digit lead over Democrat Virg Bernero in the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the Michigan governor’s race following Tuesday’s party primaries.