Republican Pat Toomey still holds a small lead over Democratic Congressman Joe Sestak in the closing days of Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Toomey picking up 50% of the vote to Sestak's 46%. One percent (1%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
A week ago, Toomey, a conservative activist who previously served in Congress, held a similar 48% to 44% edge over Sestak. The recent tightening of the race comes from an increase in support for Sestak, while Toomey’s support remains fairly steady. Sestak’s support is now at its highest level since mid-May, following a brief bounce after his Democratic Primary win over incumbent Senator Arlen Specter.
At the same time, the latest results mark the first time Toomey has reached 50% since polling of the race began in February. Prior to today’s release, Toomey has earned 42% to 49% support since February, while Sestak has picked up 36% to 46% of the vote.
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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Pennsylvania was conducted on October 28, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
More information from this survey will be released at RasmussenReports.com/Pennsylvania.
Rasmussen Reports will release new numbers from the Pennsylvania governor's race this weekend.
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