Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives
South Dakota House: Noem (R) Takes Slightly Larger Lead Over Herseth-Sandlin (D)
Republican Kristi Noem has moved slightly further ahead of incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in South Dakota’s election for the U.S. House of Representatives.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Noem, a state legislator, picking up 49% of the vote, while Herseth-Sandlin draws support from 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Earlier this month, Noem moved to a 47% to 44% edge after slipping behind in September. Since winning the GOP Primary in June, Noem has been slightly ahead of Herseth-Sandlin in every survey but one with 45% to 53% support. The incumbent has earned 41% to 47% of the vote in that same period and held a slight lead only once, 47% to 45% in early September, following news reports about Noem's driving record.
Herseth-Sandlin was elected to Congress in 2004 following the resignation of GOP Congressman Bill Janklow who was convicted of manslaughter after he killed a motorcyclist while running a stop sign at high speed.
Despite being one of the few Democrats in Congress to vote against the national health care bill, Herseth-Sandlin is contending with an electorate that’s very unhappy with President Obama and his policies.
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This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in South Dakota was conducted on October 20, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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