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Michigan: Kerry 50% Bush 44%

In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

Last month, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. At that time, we considered the state a Toss-Up for our Electoral College projections (we require a five-point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry ahead by six points. At that time, we moved Michigan to the "Leans Kerry" column. These latest results confirm that Michigan is still leaning slightly in the Democratic direction.

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