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Most Voters Still Favor Health Care Repeal and Think It’s Likely

In the first Rasmussen Reports tracking poll since the U.S. Supreme Court agreed to review the constitutionality of the new national health care law, most voters to continue to favor the law’s repeal and think repeal is likely.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat favor repeal of the law, with 40% who Strongly Favor it. A new national telephone survey shows that 40% at least somewhat oppose repeal, including 28% who are Strongly Opposed. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is nearly identical to two weeks ago and consistent with findings since the law’s passage by Congress in late March 2010. Most voters have favored repeal of the measure in every survey but one since that time.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters believe repeal of the law is at least somewhat likely, while just 29% see repeal as unlikely. This includes 14% who view repeal as Very Likely and two percent (2%) who say it’s Not At All Likely. Nearly one-in-five voters (18%) aren’t sure.

Confidence in the likelihood of repeal has increased since early September. Prior to that time, voters were almost evenly divided on the question in most surveys since the law’s passage. The new Republican majority in the House of Representatives voted to repeal the law early this year, but that effort ground to a halt in the Democratic-controlled Senate.

Forty-two percent (42%) think repeal of the health care law would be good for the U.S. economy. Twenty-seven percent (27%) disagree and say it would be a bad move economically, while 15% believe it would have no impact. Sixteen percent (16%) are undecided. These findings, too, are in line with voter sentiments since shortly after the health care measure became law.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 27, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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