Polling Critics Who Work in Glass Houses Shouldn’t Throw Stones. By Richard Baris
In 1948, Gallup had Democratic President Harry S. Truman trailing Republican Thomas E. Dewey by 5 points, 49.5% to 44.5%. President Truman won the popular vote 49.6% to 45.1%, and the Electoral College 303 to 189.
It would be six decades before Gallup misfired again, when they underestimated Barack Obama’s support in 2012.