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White House Watch: Biden Leads By Five

With less than three weeks to go until Election Day, Democrat Joe Biden holds a five point-lead over President Trump in Rasmussen Reports’ weekly White House Watch survey. But a week ago, Biden had a 12-point advantage, his biggest lead ever.

The latest national telephone and online survey finds Biden leading Trump 50% to 45% among Likely U.S. Voters. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate. Three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

In mid-September, the candidates were neck and neck, but following Trump’s announcement that he was nominating federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court, Biden moved from a narrow one-point lead to eight points ahead. Last week following the candidates’ first debate and Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis, the Democrat jumped to a 12-point advantage. Biden has now been at 50% or higher for the past three weeks.

The new survey finds Trump with 81% support among Republicans. Biden has 80% of the Democrat vote and again this week a double-digit lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.

White House Watch is updated at noon Eastern every Wednesday.

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The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted October 7-8 and 11-13, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional demographic data is located here.

The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted October 7-8 and 11-13, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

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