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Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 45%, Democrats 42%

Republican candidates now hold a three-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 2, 2010. This is the smallest gap between the parties in roughly a year.

Forty-five percent (45%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 42% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. This is the first time during 2010 that the GOP edge has fallen below five points.

Still, while the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead on the Generic Ballot for over a year, and their lead has run as high as 12 points. When Barack Obama first took office as president of the United States, the Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Ballot. 

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold an 18-point lead.

Results for this survey are compiled on a full-week basis, and crosstabs for full-week results  and generic ballot trends are available for Platinum Members only. 

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