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Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 38%

Republicans continue to hold a six-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending Sunday, July 24, finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 38% would choose the Democrat instead. This is the third week in a row where the GOP has posted the identical lead.

Republicans have led on the Generic Congressional Ballot every week since June 2009, leading by as much as 12 points and as little as two. The week before Election Day last November, support for Republicans peaked at 51%, the highest level of support either party has enjoyed in the last two years. GOP support has remained in the narrow range of 41% to 44% since late March, while Democrats have earned 37% to 40% in the same period.

Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot - 42% to 35% - when Barack Obama took office as president in late January 2009.

Republicans hold a 16-point lead among male voters, while Democrats edge them by two points among female voters. Voters under 40 remain more supportive of Democrats, while the majority of older voters favor the Republicans.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of black voters support the Democrats. White voters prefer Republicans over the president’s party by a 50% to 31% margin. Voters of other races are evenly divided.

Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties favor the Republicans by 14 points – 38% to 24% - but another 38% of these voters like a third-party candidate or are undecided.

Results for this survey are compiled on a full-week basis, and crosstabs for full-week results and Generic Ballot trends are available for Platinum Members only. 

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