Election 2012 Archive

Most Recent Releases

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 23, 2012Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 49%, Smith (R) 38%
Incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, Jr. continues to attract support from about half of Pennsylvania voters and holds a significant lead over his Republican rival in the U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Pennsylvania Voters shows Casey earning 49% support, while Tom Smith picks up 38% of the vote.  Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 20, 2012Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44%
President Obama continues to run slightly ahead of Mitt Romney in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds Obama earning 48% of the vote, while Romney receives 44% support.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 20, 2012Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 46%, Mandel (R) 42%
Incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown still holds a modest lead over Republican challenger Josh Mandel in Ohio’s U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Brown with 46% support to Mandel’s 42%. Four percent (4%) prefer another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Ohio survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 19, 2012Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45%
The presidential race remains tight in the key battleground state of Ohio where President Obama has inched slightly ahead of Mitt Romney.
A new Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Voters in the Buckeye State shows Obama with 47% of the vote to Romney’s 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on July 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 19, 2012Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 46%, Allen (R) 45%
Following President Obama’s visit to the state last Friday and Saturday with Democratic Senate candidate Tim Kaine by his side, the Virginia Senate race remains locked tight.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Kaine with 46% support to Republican George Allen’s 45%. Five percent (5%) favor some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on July 16-17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 18, 2012Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 46%
President Obama and Mitt Romney are still neck-and-neck in the important battleground state of Virginia.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Obama picking up 47% of the vote to Romney’s 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on July 16-17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 15, 2012North Dakota Governor:  Dalrymple (R) 61%, Taylor (D) 26%
In Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the North Dakota gubernatorial race, Republican incumbent Jack Dalrymple holds a commanding lead over his Democratic challenger. 
A new telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters finds Dalrymple earning 61% of the vote to Ryan Taylor's 26%.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and 11% are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 400 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on July 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 13, 2012North Dakota: Romney 51%, Obama 36%
Mitt Romney's well ahead in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the presidential race in North Dakota. 
A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Romney earning 51% support to President Obama’s 36%. Six percent (6%) prefers some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 400 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on July 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 12, 2012North Dakota Senate: Berg (R) 49%, Heitkamp (D) 40%
Republican Congressman Rick Berg is leading former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp by nine points in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the U.S. Senate race in North Dakota.
A new telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Berg with 49% support to Heitkamp’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 400 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on July 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 11, 2012Florida Senate: Mack (R) 46%, Nelson (D) 37%
Republican Congressman Connie Mack draws his highest level of support yet against incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in Florida’s 2012 U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Mack earning 46% of the vote to Nelson’s 37%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on July 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 10, 2012Florida: Romney 46%, Obama 45%
Florida’s a key swing state in this year’s presidential contest, and it remains in play with President Obama and Mitt Romney still running almost even there.
Florida is considered a Toss-Up State in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Currently, states with 207 Electoral Votes are projected to go for President Obama while states with 170 Electoral Voters are projected to go for Mitt Romney. States with 161 Electoral Votes are projected to be either Toss-Ups or Leaners.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Romney with 46% support to the president’s 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer someone else, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on July 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            June 28, 2012Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 47%, Carmona (D) 31%
Republican front-runner Jeff Flake continues to hold a double-digit lead over Democrat Richard Carmona in the race to fill Arizona's soon-to-be-vacant U.S. Senate seat.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Arizona finds Flake, a U.S. congressman, earning 47% of the vote, while Carmona receives 31% support. Five percent (5%) prefers some other candidate in the race, but a sizable 17% are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This Arizona survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            June 27, 2012Arizona:  Romney 54%, Obama 41%
Mitt Romney's support is up in Arizona following the U.S. Supreme Court decision overturning several provisions of the state's law cracking down on illegal immigration and the Obama administration's announcement that it will not process additional illegals arrested there. 
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Arizona shows Romney with 54% support to President Obama's 41%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Arizona survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
June 27, 2012North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 49%, Dalton (D) 35%
Republican hopeful Pat McCrory now posts a double-digit lead over Democrat Walter Dalton in the race to be North Carolina’s next governor.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters shows McCrory earning 49% support to Dalton’s 35%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, while a sizable 12% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on June 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            June 27, 2012Gap Narrows in North Carolina Governor Race
The gap has narrowed between Republican hopeful Pat McCrory and Democrat Walter Dalton in the race to be North Carolina’s next governor.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds McCrory leading Dalton by five points, 46% to 41%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while a sizable 10% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
June 26, 2012North Carolina: Romney 47%, Obama 44%
Mitt Romney continues to hold a small lead over President Obama in the key swing state of North Carolina. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State finds Romney earning 47% support to Obama’s 44%.  Three percent (3%) like some other candidate in the race, while six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on June 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            June 22, 2012Race for New Hampshire Governor Is Wide Open
The race to be New Hampshire’s next governor has no clear favorite at this early stage.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the top Republican hopefuls – attorney Ovide Lamontagne and former State Representative Kevin Smith – running neck-and-neck with former Democratic State Senator Jackie Cilley and only slightly ahead of another Democratic hopeful, ex-state Senator Maggie Hassan.
But 20% to 25% of voters in the state like some other candidate or are undecided in every case. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            June 21, 2012New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 43%
President Obama holds a five-point lead over Mitt Romney in Rasmussen Reports’ first Election 2012 survey of the key state of New Hampshire.
A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Granite State finds the president with 48% support, while Romney earns 43% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
June 20, 2012Montana: Romney 51%, Obama 42%
Montana remains in the Romney column again this month.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney with 51% support to President Obama’s 42%. Five percent (5%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
June 20, 2012Montana: Romney 51%, Obama 42%
Montana remains in the Romney column again this month.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney with 51% support to President Obama’s 42%. Five percent (5%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.