Election 2012 Archive

Election 2012: Obama 46%, Cain 36%

Republican presidential hopeful Herman Cain still trails President Obama by double digits in the latest Election 2012 matchup of the two men.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the president with 46% support, while Cain earns 36%.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on November 13-14, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Election 2012: Obama 50%, Gingrich 38%

President Obama has opened a wider gap over Republican presidential hopeful Newt Gingrich, even as the former House Speaker seems to be enjoying a bounce in support nationally among Republican primary voters.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters finds Obama earning 50% support to Gingrich’s 38%.

Election 2012: Obama 43%, Romney 42%

President Obama and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney remain in a dead heat in the latest Election 2012 hypothetical matchup.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Obama picking up 43% of the vote,  while Romney draws support from 42%. Eight percent (8%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Romney and the president have been neck-and-neck for nearly two months, separated by two points or less in a series of surveys.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 9-10, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Missouri Senate: McCaskill Bid for Reelection a Toss-Up

Democratic Senator from Missouri Claire McCaskill runs essentially even with two Republican challengers in the first Rasmussen Reports look at her reelection bid in 2012.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Missouri Likely Voters shows former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman with 47% support against McCaskill’s 45%.

This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on November 9, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 48%, Cain 37%

Businessman Herman Cain is losing ground in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup against President Obama. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters finds Obama earning 48% support to Cain’s 37%. 

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 7-8, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Election 2012: Generic Republican 46%, Obama 42%

A generic Republican candidate continues to lead President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup, this time by four points for the week ending Sunday, November 6.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the generic Republican earning 46% support, while the president picks up 42% of the vote.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted October 31-November 6, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 44%, Perry 35%

Texas Governor Rick Perry continues to trail President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Obama earning support from 44% of Likely Voters, while Perry receives 35% of the vote.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 5-6, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 44%, Gingrich 38%

President Obama now holds just a single-digit lead over former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the president earning 44% support, while Gingrich picks up 38% of the vote.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).   Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 3-4, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 42%, Romney 41%

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to draw the most support against President Obama out of all the GOP hopefuls. The two men are essentially tied as they have been since the beginning of the year. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Obama earning 42% support, while Romney receives 41% of the vote.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 1-2, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 43%, Cain 38%

Republican presidential hopeful Herman Cain, who is dealing with a media firestorm surrounding past accusations of sexual harassment, earns the same level of support against President Obama as he did a week ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows the president picking up 43% of the vote to Cain’s 38%.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 30-31, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 44%, Paul 35%

President Obama continues to lead Texas Congressman Ron Paul in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Obama earning 44% support to Paul’s 35%.  Thirteen percent (13%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Obama 45%, Perry 38%

Texas Governor Rick Perry made a media splash Tuesday when he unveiled his flat tax proposal, but his numbers against President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup are little changed from last week.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows the president picking up 45% of the vote to Perry’s 38%.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 26-27, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 49%, Baldwin (D) 42%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson is the leading vote getter in Rasmussen Report’s first Election 2012 survey of the race in Wisconsin to replace retiring U.S. Senator Herb Kohl.

A telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Thompson, a Republican, earning 49% support, while Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin, the only major declared Democratic candidate, picks up 42% of the vote. Given this matchup, four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Romney 44%, Obama 42%

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to run neck-and-neck with President Barack Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup.  The two men have been within two points of each other in surveys since mid-September.

The latest national telephone survey finds Romney earning support from 44% of Likely Voters, while Obama picks up 42% of the vote.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 24-25, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

2012: Generic Republican 46%, Obama 41%

A generic Republican candidate leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup for the week ending Sunday, October 23.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the generic Republican earning 46% support, while the president picks up 41% of the vote.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted October 17-23, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama 39%, Huntsman 32%

Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, who opted out of the Republican debate last week in Las Vegas in opposition to Nevada possibly moving its primary date and forcing other states to reschedule, trails President Obama by seven points in the latest hypothetical Election 2012 matchup.

Iowa: Cain 28% Romney 21% Paul 10%

Reflecting national trends, businessman Herman Cain has now jumped to the front of the Republican pack in Iowa.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa caucus-goers shows that Cain is in front with 28% followed by former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 21%. Congressman Ron Paul is a distant third at 10% followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 9%, Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann at 8%, and Texas Governor Rick Perry at 7%. The sixth place finish for Perry is a sharp decline from early September when Perry was the frontrunner both nationally and in Iowa. (To see survey question wording, click here).

Former Senator Rick Santorum picks up 4% of the vote and former Governor Jon Huntsman is at 2%. Another 4% would prefer some other candidate and 8% are not sure.

Only one-third of the caucus-goers (32%) are certain of their vote and don’t expect to change their mind. Among these voters, 30% prefer Cain, 22% Romney, and 17% Paul.

Among those absolutely certain they will show up and participate in the caucus, Cain leads Romney 31% to 18%. Many have criticized the Cain campaign for not having a strong organization in Iowa which is seen as essential to turning out the vote. According to such conventional analysis, Cain might be at risk of raising expectations too high and then underperforming.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).   Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 800 Likely Iowa Republican Caucus Participants was conducted on October 19, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Republican 47%, Obama 43%

A generic Republican now leads President Obama by four points in a hypothetical 2012 match-up for the week ending Sunday, October 16.

Election 2012: Obama 49%, Gingrich 34%

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich may have moved into a distant third place in the primary race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, but he trails President Obama by 15 points in a hypothetical general election matchup.

National Poll: Cain 29% Romney 29% Gingrich 10%

Following a Tuesday night debate focused on economic issues, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and businessman Herman Cain are tied in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is the only other candidate in double-digits. Republican voters think either frontrunner would be likely to defeat President Obama but most expect Romney to be the nominee.