Election 2012 Archive

Most Recent Releases

May 11, 2012Wisconsin:  Obama 49%, Romney 45%
President Obama still leads Mitt Romney in a head-to-head matchup in Wisconsin but by a much narrower margin.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Badger State finds Obama with 49% of the vote to Romney’s 45%.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted May 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
May 11, 2012Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 50%, Baldwin (D) 38%
Former Governor Tommy Thompson remains the leader in Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race, while two other Republican contenders continue to struggle against Democratic hopeful Tammy Baldwin.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Wisconsin shows Thompson with 50% support to Baldwin’s 38%. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on May 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            May 9, 2012Massachusetts: Obama 56%, Romney 35%
Mitt Romney has called Massachusetts home, but he now trails President Obama by the widest margin yet in an Election 2012 matchup there.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows Obama leading Romney by 21 points – 56% to 35%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Massachusetts survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted May 7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            May 8, 2012Massachusetts Senate: Brown (R) 45%, Warren (D) 45%
Despite the ongoing controversy about Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren’s past claims of Native American heritage in professional circles, she and Republican incumbent Scott Brown remain tied in Massachusetts’ U.S. Senate race. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows both Brown and Warren picking up 45% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on May 7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
May 4, 2012Montana:  Romney 51%, Obama 44%
Mitt Romney has crossed the 50% mark now against President Obama in Montana. 
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Treasure State finds the likely Republican presidential nominee with 51% support to Obama’s 44%.  Three percent (3%) favor some other candidate in the race, while one percent (1%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Montana survey of 450 Likely Voters was conducted on May 2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            May 3, 2012Montana Senate: Rehberg (R) 53%, Tester (D) 43%
Republican Congressman Denny Rehberg holds his largest lead yet over Democratic incumbent Jon Tester in Montana’s U.S. Senate race.
A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Rehberg ahead of Tester 53% to 43%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Montana survey of 450 Likely Voters was conducted on May 2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
May 2, 2012Nevada: Obama 52%, Romney 44%
President Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney in a head-to-head matchup in Nevada. 
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Obama earning 52% support, while Romney picks up 44% of the vote.  Two percent (2%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
May 1, 2012Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 51%, Berkley (D) 40%
Incumbent Republican Senator Dean Heller has crossed the 50% mark of support against his likeliest Democratic challenger in his bid for election to his first full term in Nevada.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada finds Heller picking up 51% of the vote against Congresswoman Shelley Berkley who draws 40% support. Just two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 27, 2012Florida: Romney 46%, Obama 45%
Likely Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney now runs even with President Obama in the key swing state of Florida. 
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Romney with 46% of the vote, while Obama earns 45% support. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on April 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 25, 2012Virginia:  Romney 45%, Obama 44%
Mitt Romney, with Rick Santorum out of the Republican race, has closed the gap with President Obama in the battleground state of Virginia. The two men are now essentially tied.
The latest telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Old Dominion finds Romney earning 45% support, while Obama picks up 44% of the vote.  Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on April 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 24, 2012Virginia Senate: Allen (R) 46%, Kaine (D) 45%
The race for Virginia’s open U.S. Senate seat is still virtually tied.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Virginia shows Republican George Allen with 46% support to 45% for Democrat Tim Kaine. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on April 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 20, 2012Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 42%
President Obama continues to lead presumptive Republican candidate Mitt Romney in the key battleground state of Ohio but by a slightly narrower margin. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Obama with 46% support to Romney’s 42%.  Five percent (5%) prefers some other candidate, while eight percent (8%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This Ohio survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 20, 2012Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 44%, Mandel (R) 41%
Ohio’s U.S. Senate race continues to be a close one, with incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown now inching slightly ahead of Republican challenger Josh Mandel.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Buckeye State shows Brown with 44% support to Mandel’s 41%. Three percent (3%) like another candidate, and a sizable 12% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This Ohio survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            April 19, 2012Missouri Senate: Steelman (R) 49%, McCaskill (D) 42%
Two of her three Republican challengers still lead Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill in Missouri’s 2012 U.S. Senate race but by slightly narrower margins.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Missouri finds former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman ahead of McCaskill by seven points – 49% to 42%. Steelman had a 10-point lead a month ago.  Two percent (2%) still prefer another candidate given this matchup, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 
Congressman Todd Akin posts a five-point lead over McCaskill – 48% to 43%. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. Last month, Akin led by seven.
The incumbent also trailed retired businessman John Brunner by seven points in mid-March, but now the two run dead even with 45% support each.  Three percent (3%) favor some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 13, 2012North Carolina: Romney 46%, Obama 44%
In the first Rasmussen Reports look at one of the key swing states in this year’s presidential election, likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama are in a tight race in North Carolina.
The former Massachusetts governor just edges the president 46% to 44%, according to a new statewide survey of Likely Voters. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on April 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 11, 2012Massachusetts:  Obama 51%, Romney 40%
President Obama continues to hold a double-digit lead in Massachusetts over Mitt Romney, governor of the state from 2003 to 2007.
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters in Massachusetts finds Obama earning 51% support to Romney's 40%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Massachusetts survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted April 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 11, 2012North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 45%, Dalton (D) 36%
For Republican gubernatorial hopeful Pat McCrory, the second time’s the charm so far. The unsuccessful 2008 GOP candidate for governor in North Carolina leads all three of his major Democratic opponents in the first Rasmussen Reports survey of this year’s gubernatorial contest.
A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in North Carolina finds McCrory earning 45% support to Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton’s 36%. Five percent (5%) like another candidate, and 14% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on April 10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 10, 2012New Mexico:  Obama 52%, Romney 36%
President Obama continues to hold a double-digit advantage over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in New Mexico. 
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters finds Obama earning 52% support to Romney’s 36%. Nine percent (9%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
If Rick Santorum is the Republican nominee, Obama leads the former Pennsylvania senator by a similar 53% to 38% margin.  Given that matchup, five percent (5%) favor another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 3, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 10, 2012Massachusetts Senate: Warren (D) 46%, Brown (R) 45%
Republican Senator Scott Brown and his chief Democratic challenger, Elizabeth Warren, are now running neck-and-neck in Massachusetts’ red-hot U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Massachusetts shows Warren edging Brown by one point, 46% to 45%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on April 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
April 6, 2012Obama Leads Romney, Santorum By Three in Core Four States (FL, NC, OH, VA)
President Obama now holds identical three-point leads over Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum in combined polling of the key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia.
New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying finds that Obama picks up 47% of the vote to Romney’s 44%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia was conducted on March 31 – April 5, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.