Friday, September 16, 2016
What America Thinks: Incumbents Out?
Despite all the talk we hear about perceptions of Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton determining the makeup of the next Congress, history shows that voters tend to vote local when it comes to their congressional representatives. They're generally more interested in what the local candidates have to say about issues in their home district or home state than where they come down on the big national questions.
But only 34% of voters think their local representative deserves to be reelected this year. Sixty-two percent (62%) say they are likely to vote for someone other than an incumbent this election cycle, although that includes just 28% who say they are Very Likely to do so.
Voters are also realists: The majority have said for years that most incumbents get reelected because election rules are rigged to benefit them, not because they do a good job.