Friday, January 29, 2016
What America Thinks: Newfound Confidence or Temporary Optimism?
Voters seem to be a bit happier this month, but is it an ongoing change of heart or a fleeting spike of optimism at the start of the new year? For the first time since July, at least 30% of voters have said the country is heading in the right direction for two weeks in a row. Similarly, over the past couple of weeks, President Obama’s approval index has climbed, even reaching single-digit negatives for the first time in nearly a year. His overall approval also hit the 50% mark multiple days this month.
But while this may indicate a change of heart, it’s a trend we’ve seen several times before. Voter optimism spiked in the beginning of 2013, 2014 and 2015, only to settle back to previous levels a month or two into the new year. So while only time will tell if this trend is here to stay, past evidence shows it may only be fleeting joy.