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Friday, September 19, 2014

What America Thinks: Election Update – Week of 9/19/2014

Thirty-six U.S. Senate seats are on the ballot this November. Twenty-one of them are held by Democrats and 15 by Republicans. Thirty-six governorships are at stake, too.

In Rasmussen Reports polling this week, the gap has narrowed slightly between Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown in New Hampshire’s closely-watched Senate race. Shaheen now leads Brown 48% to 42%. Among voters that are certain to vote on Election Day, that lead narrows to 48% to 44%. New Hampshire is still rated Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

Georgia is still Leaning Republican. The GOP's David Perdue leads Democrat Michelle Nunn 46% to 41%. Among Georgia voters who say they are certain to vote in this year’s election, Perdue has a wider 50% to 41% lead.

The Kansas Senate race could boil down to the wording of the ballot and how much voters are paying attention. Democrat Chad Taylor has withdrawn from the race and wants his name taken off the ballot. But for now Taylor's name is still on there. Republican Senator Pat Roberts has a narrow 39% to 38% lead over independent Greg Orman if Taylor's name is included on the ballot. But when voters are told Taylor has quit, Orman jumps to a 45% to 40% lead. Kansas moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Independent in our Balance of Power rankings.

Republican Wisconsin governor Scott Walker appears to be edging ahead of Democratic challenger Mary Burke. Walker has just a 48% to 46% lead, but among those who are definite to vote, he leads 50% to 45%. Still, Wisconsin remains a Toss-Up on the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

In Kansas, Republican Governor Sam Brownback has bounced back from a 10-point deficit in August and now trails his Democratic challenger Paul Davis by just four points – 47% to 43%. Davis holds a seven-point lead among those who are certain to vote, though. But this race now moves from Solid Democrat to a Toss-Up.

At week’s end, the Rasmussen Senate Balance of Power Rankings show 15 races Safe Republican and eight Safe Democrat. Two lean Republican, four lean Democrat one 1 leans Independent. Five races are Toss-Ups. The Republicans need six seats to take control of the Senate.

For Rasmussen Reports, I’m Alex Boyer. Remember, if it’s in the news, it’s in our polls.