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GOP - July 6, 2009

National Survey of 750 Likely GOP Voters
Conducted July 6, 2009
By Rasmussen Reports

1* I know it’s a long way off, but suppose the 2012 Republican Presidential Primary were held in your state today. If you had a choice between Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Haley Barbour and Tim Pawlenty, for whom would you vote?

25% Romney
24% Palin
22% Huckabee
14% Gingrich
1% Barbour
1% Pawlenty
6% Some other candidate
6% Not sure

2* Okay…regardless of who you would vote for, which candidate would you least like to see win the Republican nomination in 2012…. Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Haley Barbour or Tim Pawlenty?

9% Romney
21% Palin
10% Huckabee
15% Gingrich
21% Barbour
15% Pawlenty
11% Not sure

3* In the 2012 election, how likely is it that a Republican candidate will defeat Barack Obama?

41% Very likely

34% Somewhat likely

14% Not very likely

4% Not at all likely

7% Not sure

4* Favorable Ratings for Prospective Republican Candidates in 2012

Romney

Palin

Huckabee

Gingrich

Barbour

Pawlenty

Cheney

Very favorable

39%

45%

41%

35%

7%

8%

30%

Somewhat favorable

34%

31%

37%

30%

27%

30%

29%

Somewhat unfavorable

14%

12%

12%

18%

24%

24%

20%

Very unfavorable

5%

9%

5%

11%

13%

9%

14%

Not sure

8%

2%

5%

5%

28%

28%

7%

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence