September 24, 2009

Survey of 500 Likely Arizona Voters

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

30% Strongly approve

14% Somewhat approve

9% Somewhat disapprove

47% Strongly disapprove

0% Not sure

2* How would you rate the job Jan Brewer has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

8% Strongly approve

29% Somewhat approve

36% Somewhat disapprove

21% Strongly disapprove

5% Not sure

3* In thinking about the 2010 election for Arizona’s next Governor suppose you had a choice between Republican Jan Brewer and Democrat Terry Goddard. If the election for governor were held today would you vote for Republican Jan Brewer or Democrat Terry Goddard?

35% Brewer

42% Goddard

13% Some other candidate

11% Not sure

4* In thinking about the 2010 election for Arizona’s next Governor suppose you had a choice between Democrat Terry Goddard and Republican Fife Symington. If the election for governor were held today would you vote for Democrat Terry Goddard or Republican Fife Symington?

44% Goddard

37% Symington

9% Some other candidate

10% Not sure

Now I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

5* First..Terry Goddard

16% Very favorable

38% Somewhat favorable

21% Somewhat unfavorable

17% Very unfavorable

8% Not sure

6* Next Jan Brewer

7% Very favorable

35% Somewhat favorable

32% Somewhat unfavorable

22% Very unfavorable

5% Not sure

7* Last one…Fife Symington

10% Very favorable

26% Somewhat favorable

24% Somewhat unfavorable

30% Very unfavorable

11% Not sure

8* How would you rate the job John McCain been doing as Senator… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

22% Strongly approve

34% Somewhat approve

19% Somewhat disapprove

24% Strongly disapprove

1% Not sure

9* Over the past several years, has John McCain done a good job of representing Republican values? Or has he lost touch with Republican voters in Arizona?

36% He’s done a good job representing Republican values

46% He’s lost touch with Republican voters

17% Not sure

10* How likely is it that John McCain will win the Republican Senate Primary in 2010?

38% Very likely

33% Somewhat likely

13% Not very likely

10% Not at all likely

6% Not sure

11* How would you rate the way that Jan Brewer has handled the negotiations regarding the Arizona state budget…excellent, good, fair or poor?

4% Excellent

17% Good

37% Fair

38% Poor

3% Not sure

12* In dealing with the Arizona state budget negotiations has Jan Brewer done a better job that Janet Napolitano would have done, a worse jobs than Janet Napolitano would have done or about the same?

29% Better

38% Worse

28% About the same

5% Not sure

13* Which is a bigger problem in Arizona —that voters are unwilling to pay enough in taxes or that the politicians are unwilling to control government spending?

17% Voters are unwilling to pay enough in taxes
76% Politicians are unwilling to control government spending
7% Not sure

14* Generally speaking, does the state government try to do too much, not enough or does it do about the right amount of what the public wants?

41% State government tries to do too much
39% State government does not do enough
15% State government does about the right amount
6% Not sure

15* Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?

24% Strongly favor

17% Somewhat favor

10% Somewhat oppose

47% Strongly oppose

2% Not sure

16* If the health care reform plan passes, will the quality of health care get better, worse, or stay about the same?

19% Better

55% Worse

21% Stay the same

5% Not sure

17* If the health care reform plan passes, will the cost of health care go up, go down, or stay about the same?

56% The cost of health care will go up

21% The cost will go down

16% Stay the same

6% Not sure

18* Is the health care reform legislation being considered by Congress likely to increase the deficit, reduce the deficit, or have no impact on the deficit?

69% Increase the deficit

6% Reduce the deficit

19% Have no impact on the deficit

6% Not sure

19* To cover the cost of health care reform, how likely is it that taxes will have to be raised on the middle class?

63% Very likely

14% Somewhat likely

19% Not very likely

3% Not at all likely

2% Not sure

20* Has there been a reduction in illegal immigration since the beginning of the year?

38% Yes

38% No

24% Not sure

21* How likely is it that the recession in the United States will reduce illegal immigration?

31% Very likely

29% Somewhat likely

24% Not very likely

12% Not at all likely

3% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence