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Final Rasmussen Poll Results – Senate Elections
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67% of Minnesota Voters Expect Coleman to Win
Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Minnesota voters now expect incumbent Republican Norm Coleman to beat Democrat Al Franken in the state’s U.S. Senate race, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Minnesota taken Thursday night.
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Chambliss Ahead by Four in Georgia Run-off Race
Republican incumbent Saxby Chambliss holds a four-point lead over Democratic challenger Jim Martin in Georgia’s closely-watched Senate runoff race, according to the first Rasmussen Reports survey in the state since Election Day.
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Maine Senate: Collins 57% Allen 41%
In the final days of Election 2008, Republican Senator Susan Collins has expanded her double-digit lead over Democratic challenger Tom Allen in Maine.
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Merkley Leads Smith By Three in Oregon Senate Race
Democratic challenger Jeff Merkley has taken a slight lead over incumbent Republican Gordon Smith in Oregon’s U.S. Senate race.
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Shaheen Leads Sununu by Eight in New Hampshire
With just four days left until Election Day, Democrat Jeanne Shaheen still leads Republican Senator John Sununu in New Hampshire’s U.S. Senate race.
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Georgia Senate: Chambliss 48% Martin 43%
Senator Saxby Chambliss leads Democratic challenger Jim Martin by five percentage points in his bid for re-election in Georgia.
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McConnell Still Up by Seven in Kentucky
Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell still holds a seven-point lead on Democratic opponent Bruce Lunsford in Kentucky, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
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Udall Leads by 15 in New Mexico Senate Race
The Senate race in New Mexico has tightened somewhat, but Democrat Tom Udall still remains far ahead of Republican Steve Pearce. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall leading his opponent 56% to 41%.
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North Carolina Senate: Hagan Leads by Six
Democrat Kay Hagan now holds a six-point lead over incumbent Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole in North Carolina.
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Coleman Tops Franken 43% to 39% in Minnesota
With the election just six days away, incumbent Republican Norm Coleman is back in front of Democratic challenger Al Franken – with his biggest lead since April -- in the U.S. Senate race in Minnesota.
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Following Conviction, Stevens Falls Behind in Alaska Senate Race
Republican Senator Ted Stevens has fallen eight points behind Democrat Mark Begich in his bid for re-election, and most Alaska voters now believe Stevens should resign from office.
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Wicker Jumps to 11-Point Lead in Mississippi
Republican Roger Wicker, appointed to the Senate last year when Trent Lott resigned, has opened an 11-point lead over Democratic challenger Ronnie Musgrove in Mississippi.
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Harkin Still Well Ahead in Iowa
Incumbent Democrat Tom Harkin continues to hold a solid lead over Republican challenger Chris Reed in Iowa's U.S. Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Harkin leading 57% to 41%.
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New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen 50%, Sununu 45%
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen continues to hold a steady lead over incumbent John Sununu in New Hampshire’s U.S. Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the challenger leading 52% to 46%.
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Chambliss Ahead By Just Two in Georgia
The U.S. Senate race in Georgia has grown a whole lot closer over the past two weeks. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds GOP incumbent Saxby Chambliss leading Democratic challenger Jim Martin by just 47% to 45%.
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Landrieu Leads Kennedy by 10 in Louisiana Senate Race
Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu now leads challenger John Kennedy 53% to 43% in her bid for re-election, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.
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Minnesota: Franken Still Narrowly Ahead in Senate Race
Democratic challenger Al Franken remains slightly ahead of Republican incumbent Norm Coleman in Minnesota’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.
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Incumbent Cornyn Opens Big Lead in Texas
Republican Senator from Texas John Cornyn has opened a fifteen point lead over challenger Rick Noriega in his bid for re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the incumbent leading 55% to 40%.
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McConnell Leads by Seven in Kentucky
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell seems to be bucking the anti-GOP trend in much of the country. In the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky, McConnell leads his Democratic opponent Bruce Lunsford by seven points.
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Alexander Stretches Lead to 28 Points in Tennessee
For Republicans hoping to prevent the Democrats from picking up enough seats to have a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, Tennessee is a rare bit of good news.
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Warner Leads by 25 Points in Virginia
The only real question in the Virginia Senate race seems to be whether Democratic candidate Mark Warner will have coattails enough to help swing the state into Barack Obama’s column on Election Day.
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Colorado Senate: Democrat Udall Up By Seven
Democrat Mark Udall has opened a seven-point lead over Republican Bob Schaffer in Colorado’s race for the U.S. Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall ahead 51% to 44%.
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Oregon Senate Race Tied At 47% Apiece
Incumbent Republican Gordon Smith is locked in a dead heat with Democratic challenger Jeff Merkley in the race for the U.S. Senate in Oregon.
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Durbin Ahead 62% to 31% in Illinois
Majority Whip Dick Durbin now has a two-to-one lead over Republican challenger Steve Sauerberg in the U.S. Senate race in Illinois.
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Kerry Still Dominant in Massachusetts Senate Race
There is still no reason for John Kerry to worry about winning re-election in Massachusetts’s U.S. Senate race in November. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Kerry leading challenger Jeff Beatty 63% to 31%.
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Roberts Still Safe in Kansas Senate Race
Incumbent Senator Pat Roberts continues to dominate his challenger in the U.S. Senate race in Kansas. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Roberts leading Democrat Jim Slattery 55% to 36%.
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New Mexico Senate: Udall Opens 20-Point Lead
As Democrats dream of winning 60 seats to create a filibuster-proof Senate, New Mexico’s Tom Udall is doing his part. His lead over Republican Steve Pearce continues to grow and has now reached twenty percentage points.
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Levin Still Dominates Michigan Senate Election
No surprises in the U.S. Senate race in Michigan as incumbent Carl Levin continues to cruise towards re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Levin leading challenger Jack Hoogendyk 61% to 36%.
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Hagan Still Leads Dole in North Carolina Senate Showdown
Democrat Kay Hagan continues to hold on to a modest lead over incumbent United States Senator Elizabeth Dole according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in the Tar Heel State.
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Lautenberg 51%, Zimmer 37% in New Jersey Senate Race
Democratic Senator Frank Lautenberg has doubled his lead over Republican challenger Dick Zimmer to 14 points in his bid for reelection in New Jersey, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.
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Franken Leads Coleman in Minnesota Senate Race
As the electoral landscape continues to look bleak for Republicans, Al Franken has pulled ahead of Republican incumbent Norm Coleman in Minnesota’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.
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Georgia’s Senate Race Holds Steady in October
The U.S. Senate race in Georgia remains relatively unchanged this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Peach State finds Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss leading Democratic challenger Jim Martin 50% to 44%.
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Alaska Senate: Stevens 49%, Begich 48%
The U.S. Senate race in Alaska remains a dead heat. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds incumbent Republican Ted Stevens barely leading Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich 49% to 48%.
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Collins Leads 53% to 43% in Maine Senate Race
With one month to go, incumbent Senator Susan Collins has a 10-point lead on her Democratic challenger Tom Allen in Maine, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.
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New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen 50%, Sununu 45%
In New Hampshire, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Democrat Jeanne Shaheen leading incumbent Republican Senator John Sununu by five percentage points, 50% to 45%, in the race for the U.S. Senate. Sununu is seeking a second term.
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Nebraska Senate: Johanns Ahead by 14
Former Republican Governor Mike Johanns now leads Democrat Scott Kleeb 52% to 38% in Nebraska’s Senate race, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
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McConnell 51%, Lunsford 42% in Kentucky Senate Race
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is still leading his Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in Kentucky.
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New Mexico Senate Race Looks Good for Democrats
From the beginning of the year, New Mexico has been viewed as one of the Democrats’ best opportunities to pick up a Senate seat from the Republicans, and the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state does nothing to challenge that assumption.
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Wicker-Musgrove Senate Race Tightens in Mississippi
The Mississippi special Senate race between incumbent Republican Roger Wicker and his Democratic challenger Ronnie Musgrove is once again a neck-and-neck race.
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Texas Senate: Cornyn’s Lead Slips to Seven
Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn now leads challenger Rick Noriega just 50% to 43% in Texas, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.
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Alexander Leads 56% to 32% in Tennessee Senate Race
Senator Lamar Alexander is cruising comfortably toward re-election in Tennessee where he leads his Democratic challenger Bob Tuke by 24 points in a new Rasmussen Reports survey of voters in the state.
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Harkin Leads 54% to 40% in Iowa Senate Race
Iowa Senator Tom Harkin’s lead over Republican challenger Jack Reed has dropped 10 points this month, but he is still poised to handily win his bid for re-election in November.
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Louisiana Senate: Landrieu Maintains Strong Lead
Senator Mary Landrieu of Louisiana continues to hold onto a strong lead over Republican challenger John Kennedy in her bid for re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the incumbent ahead 54% to 41.
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Virginia Senate: Warner Continues to Dominate Gilmore
There are no surprises in the latest polling on the U.S. Senate race in Virginia.
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West Virginia Senate: Rockefeller Cruising Towards Re-Election
Senator Jay Rockefeller (D) of West Virginia doesn’t have to worry about losing his bid for re-election in November. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Senate race in the state finds him leading challenger Jay Wolfe 61% to 33%.
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North Carolina Senate: Hagan 48% Dole 45%
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in North Carolina finds Democratic challenger Kay Hagan with 48% of the vote and the incumbent United States Senator Elizabeth Dole three points behind with 45%.
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No Surprises in Massachusetts’ Senate Race, Kerry Way Ahead
The United States Senate race in Massachusetts continues to be a lock for Senator John Kerry. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the former Democratic Presidential nominee leading challenger Jeff Beatty 65% to 30%.
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GOP’s Sessions Ahead Nearly Two-to-One in Alabama
Incumbent Senator Jeff Sessions is still coasting to re-election in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in Alabama.
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Colorado Senate: Udall’s Lead Cut to Two
The U.S. Senate race in Colorado has gotten even closer over the past month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state now finds Democrat Mark Udall with a modest 46% to 44% edge over Republican Bob Schaffer.
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Sununu Moves Ahead in New Hampshire
Incumbent Republican Senator John Sununu can breathe a little easier in New Hampshire if the numbers keep trending his way in his rematch race against former Governor Jeanne Shaheen.
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Kansas Senate: Roberts Maintains Huge Lead
Republican Senator Pat Roberts remains far ahead of challenger Jim Slattery in Kansas. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Roberts ahead 58% to 38%.
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Add North Carolina's Dole to List of Vulnerable Incumbents
In North Carolina, Democratic challenger Kay Hagan has taken a six-point lead over Republican United States Senator Elizabeth Dole.
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Coleman 48%, Franken 47% in Minnesota
Republican incumbent Norm Coleman has inched ahead of Al Franken in Minnesota’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, with the introduction of a third-party candidate having virtually no impact on the contest so far.
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Illinois Senate: No Surprise as Durbin Cruising
Illinois Senator Dick Durbin enjoys a 24-percentage-point lead in his bid for re-election.
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South Carolina Senate: Graham 50% Conley 41%
The first Rasmussen Reports poll of South Carolina’s United State Senate race shows Republican Senator Lindsey Graham attracting 50% of the vote while Democratic challenger Bob Conley earns 41%.
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South Carolina Senate: Graham 50% Conley 41%
The first Rasmussen Reports poll of South Carolina’s United State Senate race shows Republican Senator Lindsey Graham attracting 50% of the vote while Democratic challenger Bob Conley earns 41%.
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Oklahoma Senate: Inhofe Safe in Re-Election Bid
Oklahoma Senator Jim Inhofe is cruising towards re-election in November. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the U.S. Senate race finds the incumbent leading Democratic challenger Andrew Rice 55% to 39%.
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New Jersey Senate: Lautenberg Hangs on to Lead
Democratic Senator Frank Lautenberg leads Republican challenger Dick Zimmer by seven percentage points in New Jersey’s U.S. Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Garden State finds Lautenberg on top 49% to 42%.
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Collins Ahead by 13 in Maine Senate Race
Incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins still has a double-digit lead over her Democratic challenger, Tom Allen, in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in Maine.
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Georgia Senate: Chambliss Maintains Lead
There’s little change in the Georgia’s U.S. Senate race between Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss and his Democratic challenger, Jim Martin.
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Michigan Senate: Levin Still Safe for Re-Election
The U.S. Senate race in Michigan continues to be a runaway. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Senator Carl Levin leading State Representative Jack Hoogendyk 57% to 38%.
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Oregon Senate Race Back To A Dead Heat
Oregon Senator Gordon Smith is in dangerous territory again, virtually tied with Jeff Merkley, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
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Idaho Senate: GOP’s Risch Is Far Ahead 58% to 30%
Republicans in Idaho appear to have safely weathered the Larry Craig scandal, with the GOP candidate for his seat in the Senate ahead nearly two-to-one over his Democratic opponent.
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Stevens Closes To Within Two in Alaska Senate Race
Ted Stevens is back, helped no doubt by the popularity of his state’s governor, Sarah Palin, now the high-profile running mate of Republican presidential candidate John McCain.
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New Mexico Senate: Udall’s Lead Continues to Fall
New Mexico’s race for the U.S. Senate is the closest it’s ever been this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Democrat Tom Udall leading Republican Steve Pearce 51% to 44%.
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Montana Senate: Incumbent Baucus in Safe Territory
In the first poll of Montana’s race for United States Senate, Incumbent Max Baucus (D) is way out in front. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the Senator leading challenger Robert Kelleher 64% to 31%.
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New Jersey Senate: Lautenberg’s Lead Grows in the Garden State, Support Climbs Over 50%
Democratic Senator Frank Lautenberg has expanded his lead over challenger Dick Zimmer in the U.S. Senate race in New Jersey. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Garden State finds Lautenberg on top 51% to 33%.
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Texas Senate: Cornyn Still Well Ahead But Has Less Than 50% Support
The U.S. Senate race in Texas remains steady this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds GOP Senator John Cornyn leading Democratic state legislator Rick Noriega 48% to 37%.
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Mississippi Senate: Wicker Holds Five-Point Advantage Over Musgrove
There’s little change in the race between appointed U.S. Senator Roger Wicker (R) and former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D). The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Mississippi found Wicker attracts 47% of the vote, while Musgrove earns support from 42%.
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New Mexico: Senate Race Tightens, But Udall Still Up By 10
Republican Steve Pearce has cut his opponent’s lead by more than half, but Democrat Tom Udall still leads 51% to 41% in the U.S. Senate race in New Mexico, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
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New Hampshire: Shaheen Doubles Lead over Incumbent Sununu
Former New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen regained some lost ground and moved further ahead of incumbent Senator John Sununu in New Hampshire’s United States Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the states finds Shaheen up 51% to 40% which is enough to qualify Sununu as the most endangered incumbent of Election 2008.
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Illinois Senate: Incumbent Durbin Still Way Ahead
Illinois Senator Dick Durbin, the number two Democrat in the Senate, continues to dominate his Republican opponent Steve Sauerberg in his bid for re-election.
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Lousiana Senate: Landrieu Opens 16-Point Lead in Louisiana
Senator Mary Landrieu, once viewed as the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent this election year, has opened a significant lead over Republican challenger John Kennedy in her bid for re-election.
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Georgia Senate: Chambliss Leads Martin by Six
Jim Martin, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate after defeating Vernon Jones in a run-off primary election earlier this month, is now trailing incumbent Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss by just six percentage points. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Peach State finds the incumbent ahead of his challenger 48% to 43%.
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Maine Senate: Collins Doubles Lead over Allen
Maine Senator Susan Collins has more than doubled her lead over Democratic challenger Tom Allen in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state. The Republican incumbent is ahead 53% to 38%.
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Minnesota Senate: Toss-up Between Coleman and Franken
The United States Senate race in Minnesota remains a toss-up, but things are beginning to lean in favor of Republican incumbent Norm Coleman.
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Warner Still Way Ahead in Virginia’s Senate Race
Former Democratic Governor Mark Warner’s lead continues to grow over former Republican Governor Jim Gilmore in Virginia’s race for the United States Senate.
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Colorado Senate: Udall Leads by Seven
Democrat Mark Udall's lead over Republican Bob Schaffer in Colorado’s race for the U.S. Senate has grown slightly over the past month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall ahead 47% to 41%.
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Kansas Senate: GOP Incumbent Roberts Up by 19%
Republican Senator Pat Roberts’ lead over his Democratic challenger Jim Slattery is down eight points from a month ago, but the incumbent is still well ahead -- 55% to 36% -- in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Kansas.
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Iowa Senate: Harkin Takes 24-point Lead on GOP Challenger
Iowa Democratic Senator Tom Harkin has expanded his lead over challenger Christopher Reed and is increasingly looking like a shoo-in for re-election.
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Oregon Senate: Incumbent Smith Regains Lead, Still Receives Under 50% Support
Republican Senator Gordon Smith has regained the lead over challenger Jeff Merkley in Oregon’s U.S. Senate race, but still receives under 50% support from voters. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Smith on top 47% to 39% this month.
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Michigan Senate: Landslide Levin
The U.S. Senate race in Michigan has changed little over the past month. Democratic Senator Carl Levin continues to enjoy a big lead over State Representative Jack Hoogendyk, 56% to 36%.
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Kerry Still Dominating Massachusetts Senate Race
There are no new developments in the United States Senate race in Massachusetts – incumbent John Kerry is still the clear frontrunner. This month, the former Presidential candidate leads GOP challenger Jeff Beatty 56% to 29%. When “leaners” are included, Kerry leads 59% to 32%.
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Alabama Senate: Sessions’ Lead Still Strong
Republican Senator Jeff Sessions continues to maintain a strong lead over his Democratic challenger Vivian Davis Figures in Alabama’s race for the U.S. Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Sessions ahead 58% to 31%.
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Texas Senate: Incumbent Cornyn’s Lead Slips to Ten Points
The United States Senate race in Texas continues to get tighter this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Lone Star State finds Republican Incumbent John Cornyn leading Democratic State Legislator Rick Noriega 47% to 37%. When “leaners” are included, Cornyn leads 50% to 39%.
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Kentucky Senate: McConnell Now Holds 12-point Lead
Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell continues to come back strong in Kentucky where he now leads his Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford 50% to 38%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
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Nebraska Senate: Johanns Holds on to Solid Lead
Former Governor Mike Johanns has maintained a big lead over Democrat Scott Kleeb in the United States Senate race in Nebraska this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the Republican ahead 56% to 31%.
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Alaska Senate: Begich Opens Nine-Point Lead Over Stevens
A week before longtime Alaska Senator Ted Stevens was indicted for trying to cover up more than $250,000 in illegal gifts, a Rasmussen Reports survey of voters in the state found that his bid for a seventh term was already in trouble.
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New Mexico Senate: Udall Still Safely Ahead
Democratic Congressman Tom Udall is maintaining his huge lead over Republican Steve Pearce in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race. The Democrat now leads 59% to 34%. When “leaners” are included, Udall is on top 61% to 35%.
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New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen Up by Five
Republican Senator John Sununu has gained some ground, but still trails former Governor Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire’s race for the United States Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Shaheen leading 50% to 45%. When “leaners” are included, the Democrat is ahead 51% to 45%.
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Minnesota Senate Race Still a Toss-Up
The United States Senate race in Minnesota remains a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters shows Republican incumbent Norm Coleman attracting 44% of the vote and challenger Al Franken earning 43%.
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Colorado Senate: Udall 47% Schaffer 43%
Democrat Mark Udall is still narrowly ahead of Republican Bob Schaffer in the race to become Colorado’s next United States Senator. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall up 47% to 43% this month. When “leaners” are included, it’s a three-point advantage for the Democrat, 49% to 46%.
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Georgia Senate: Senator Chambliss Holds onto Strong Leads Over Democrats
The U.S. Senate race in Georgia has remained relatively steady this month. Senator Saxby Chambliss leads Democratic challengers Vernon Jones 59% to 29% and Jim Martin 51% to 40% in the Peach State.
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Maine Senate: Race Remains Steady Over Past Month
The United States Senate race in Maine remains steady this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Pine Tree State finds Republican Senator Susan Collins leading Democrat Tom Allen 49% to 42%. When “leaners” are included, Collins leads 53% to 43%.
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Virginia Senate: Warner Still Way Ahead
Democrat Mark Warner continues to hold a solid lead over Republican Jim Gilmore in Virginia’s race for the United States Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Warner ahead 57% to 34%. When “leaners” are included, Warner leads 59% to 36%.
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North Carolina Senate: Dole Holds onto Solid Lead
North Carolina’s Republican Senator, Elizabeth Dole, continues to hold onto a solid lead over Democratic challenger Kay Hagan. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the incumbent ahead 53% to 41% in the Tar Heel State.
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Kansas Senate: Roberts Regains Double-digit Lead over Slattery
Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts has taken a nearly two-to-one lead – 57% to 30% -- over his Democratic opponent, former Representative Jim Slattery, in Kansas, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of state voters.
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Oregon Senate: Merkley tops Smith for first time 43% to 41%
Democratic challenger Jeff Merkley for the first time has edged ahead of Republican Senator Gordon Smith 43% to 41% in Oregon, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.
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South Dakota Senate: Senator Johnson in the Clear
South Dakota Senator Tim Johnson (D) is well ahead of State Representative Joel Dykstra in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state’s U.S. Senate race. The incumbent leads 60% to 35%. When “leaners” are included, Johnson is ahead 60% to 38%.