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Questions - New Hampshire GOP Primary - January 8, 2011

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New Hampshire Survey of 722 Likely GOP Primary Voters

Conducted January 8, 2012

By Rasmussen Reports

 

Please note that we split the survey to rotate the order of the candidate names, so while half will hear the sequences displayed below, the other half hears a different order.

 

1* If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry?

 

37% Romney

13% Santorum

17% Paul

15% Huntsman

12% Gingrich

  1% Perry
  1% Some other candidate

  3% Not sure

 

2* Now I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression.

 

Candidate

Very Favorable

Somewhat Favorable

Somewhat Unfavorable

Very Unfavorable

Not Sure

Mitt Romney

31%

35%

20%

13%

1%

Newt Gingrich

15%

29%

26%

26%

4%

Rick Perry

4%

23%

35%

31%

7%

Ron Paul

18%

27%

26%

26%

2%

Jon Huntsman

15%

39%

25%

13%

8%

Rick Santorum

17%

34%

21%

23%

5%

 

 

3* Which Republican presidential candidate would be the strongest opponent against Barack Obama in the general election….Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry?

 

51% Romney
  8% Santorum
  9% Paul

11% Huntsman

15% Gingrich

  2% Perry

  5% Not sure

 

4* Which Republican presidential candidate would be the weakest opponent against Barack Obama in the general election…. Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry?

 

   5% Romney
 11% Santorum
 33% Paul

 11% Huntsman

 13% Gingrich

 22% Perry

   5% Not sure

 

5* Regardless of who you want to win, who do you think will win the Republican presidential nomination?

 

 70% Romney
   6% Santorum
   8% Paul

   2% Huntsman

   5% Gingrich

   0% Perry

   9% Not sure

 

6* Suppose your favorite candidate does not win the nomination. When the general election is held, would you be most likely to vote for the Republican candidate, President Barack Obama, or a third party candidate?

 

70% The Republican candidate

17% Barack Obama

  8% A third party candidate

  5% Not sure

 

7* How likely is it that the Republican nominee for president will win the general election in 2012?

 

46% Very likely
35% Somewhat likely
12% Not very likely
  2% Not at all likely
  5% Not sure

 

8* How many Republican presidential candidates have you met during the New Hampshire Primary campaign?

 

68% None
11% One
10% Two
  5% Three
  6% More than three
  0% Not sure

 

9* Have you seen any positive campaign ads from any candidate during this year’s Republican Primary election?

69% Yes
16% No
14% Not sure

 

10* Have you seen any negative campaign ads attacking another candidate during the Republican Primary election?

 

81% Yes
10% No
  9% Not sure

 

8* Are you certain you will vote for that candidate or is it possible that something come up that causes you to change your mind?

 

69% Certain

28% Might change your mind

  3% No initial preference           

 

9* Many times, things come up that make it impossible for someone to vote in the primaries. Are you certain that you will vote in the South Carolina primary or is it possible that something might come up to prevent you from voting?

 

93% Certain

  7% Something might come up

 

10* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president…do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

 

  8% Strongly approve

11% Somewhat approve

13% Somewhat disapprove

67% Strongly disapprove

  1% Not sure

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence