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Election 2008: Texas Senate
Incumbent Cornyn Opens Big Lead in Texas

Republican Senator from Texas John Cornyn has opened a fifteen point lead over challenger Rick Noriega in his bid for re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the incumbent leading 55% to 40%.

The latest poll is good news for Cornyn, who watched his lead slip to seven in September after leading by double digits in all previous polls since May. The senator is seeking his second term.

Cornyn now has a 54% to 32% lead among unaffiliated voters in Texas (see crosstabs).

The incumbent is viewed favorably by 59% of voters and unfavorably by 32%. Noriega’s numbers are 43% favorable, 42% unfavorable. Sixteen percent (16%) of voters still have no opinion on the democratic challenger.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives Cornyn an % chance of keeping his job in November. This figure is updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Governor Rick Perry earns good or excellent ratings from 42% of voters in Texas, while 19% give his job performance a poor rating.

The latest poll on the presidential race in Texas found John McCain opening a ten-point lead over Barack Obama in the historically red state.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Texas Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

Ras Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Cornyn (R)

55%

51%

55%

Noriega (D)

40%

40%

43%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Texas Trends: Cornyn vs. Noriega

Date

Cornyn

Noriega

10/21/2008

55%

40%

09/29/2008

50%

43%

08/21/2008

48%

37%

07/30/2008

47%

37%

06/25/2008

48%

35%

06/02/2008

52%

35%

05/01/2008

47%

43%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Texas

 

Cornyn

Noriega

Very Favorable

26%

18%

Somewhat Favorable

33%

25%

Somewhat Unfavorable

23%

24%

Very Unfavorable

9%

18%

Not Sure

9%

16%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.