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Election 2008: South Carolina Senate
South Carolina Senate: Graham 50% Conley 41%

The first Rasmussen Reports poll of South Carolina’s United State Senate race shows Republican Senator Lindsey Graham attracting 50% of the vote while Democratic challenger Bob Conley earns 41%.

Graham, who was first elected to the Senate in 2002, is viewed favorably by 52% of the state’s voters. Thirty-eight percent (38%) have an unfavorable view. Before serving in the Senate, Graham had been a member of the House of Representatives from 1994 to 2002.

Conley is viewed favorably by 42%, and unfavorably by 32%. Twenty-five percent (25%) have no opinion of him. Although he is running for the Senate as a Democrat, he had previously served on the Horry County Republican Committee and supported Ron Paul for President. Conley won the Democratic nomination is a close primary election on June 16.

Graham is supported by 76% of Republicans, Conley by 67% of Democrats. The two men currently split the unaffiliated vote (Premium Members can see full demographic crosstabs).

The South Carolina survey was conducted on Thursday night. Several state polls conducted that evening showed very positive results for Democrats and it was one of Barack Obama’s best recent nights in the daily Presidential Tracking Poll. It remains to be seen whether this was a temporary blip in the race or the beginning of a new trend leading to a significant advantage for the Democrats.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Graham a % chance of keeping his job in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join, so add your voice to the collective wisdom.

While this poll indicates a somewhat tighter race than expected in South Carolina, there are many other Republican Senate seats potentially in play for Democrats this year. This includes seats in Alaska,New Hampshire,Oregon,New Mexico,Colorado,Mississippi,Minnesota, and The only Democratic incumbent polling below 50% is New Jersey’s Frank Lautenberg.

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 18, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in South Carolina

 

Graham

Conley

Very Favorable

20%

9%

Somewhat Favorable

32%

33%

Somewhat Unfavorable

22%

21%

Very Unfavorable

16%

11%

Not Sure

10%

25%


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.