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Mississippi Senate: Wicker Holds Five-Point Advantage Over Musgrove

There’s little change in the race between appointed U.S. Senator Roger Wicker (R) and former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D). The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Mississippi found Wicker attracts 47% of the vote, while Musgrove earns support from 42%. Last month, Wicker had a six-point edge.

When “leaners” are included, Wicker’s lead expands to nine percentage points, 52% to 43%. That’s the same as last month’s total.

Leaners are survey participants who initially indicate no preference for either major candidate but indicate that they are leaning towards either McCain or Obama.

Wicker leads 71% to 22% among white voters while Musgrove leads 83% to 17% among black voters. Premium Members can review full crosstabs and see results by gender, age, ideology, party, income, and other demographics. Time is running out to save on Premium Memberships. Sign up now and save. Learn More. Those figures are virtually unchanged from a month ago.

Mississippi is in the unusual position of having two U.S. Senate races this year due to the retirement of Trent Lott. In December, Wicker was appointed to replace Lott by Governor Haley Barbour. In the other Mississippi Senate race, Thad Cochran enjoys a sizable lead and should cruise to re-election.

Wicker is viewed favorably by 59% of Mississippi voters, Musgrove by 53%. Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

In the Mississippi Presidential race, John McCain leads Barack Obama.

Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour’s ratings have improved a bit over the past month. The Republican governor earns good or excellent ratings from 53%, while 21% give him a poor rating.

While Wicker now has a modest edge in this race, any incumbent who polls below 50% is considered potentially vulnerable. Wicker is far from the only Republican in that category and Republican Senate seats are potentially in play including seats in Virginia, Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, and Minnesota.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Wicker is currently given a % chance of keeping his job with a victory in November. This figure is updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

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Mississippi Leans Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2006 Results

Wicker (R)

54%

50%

64%

Musgrove (D)

43%

44%

35%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Mississippi Trends: Wicker vs. Musgrove

Date

Wicker

Musgrove

10/27/2008

54%

43%

9/30/2008

49%

47%

8/21/2008

47%

42%

7/28/2008

48%

42%

6/24/2008

48%

47%

5/27/2008

46%

47%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Mississippi

 

Wicker

Musgrove

Very Favorable

29%

25%

Somewhat Favorable

30%

22%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

18%

Very Unfavorable

19%

32%

Not Sure

4%

4%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.