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Mississippi Senate: Incumbent Cochran Expands Lead

Long-time Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran (R) has expanded his lead over former state legislator Erik Fleming in his bid for re-election. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found Cochran leads Fleming 59% to 32%.

Last month, Cochran led Fleming 58% to 35% in the first Rasmussen poll of the race. Cochran was first elected to the Senate in 1978. Fleming ran against retired senator Trent Lott in 2006. His new Senate colleague, Roger Wicker, is in a more competitive race.

Cochran has very strong support from male voters, leading 70% to 25%. The race is closer, though not close, among female voters, where Cochran leads 50% to 37%. Cochran has support from 91% of Mississippi Republicans, 23% of Democrats and 72% of unaffiliated voters. Fleming is backed by just 63% of Democrats, 5% of Republicans, and 20% of unaffiliated voters.

Opinions of Cochran have become more positive over the past month. The incumbent is viewed favorably by 69%, up four percentage points from last month, and unfavorably by 24%, which has remain unchanged. Fleming’s numbers are 46% favorably, 36% unfavorable. The Democrat’s ratings have also improved since our last poll, when more voters viewed him unfavorably (42%) than favorably (37%).

As a Republican incumbent with a safe lead, Cochran is a bit of a rarity in the 2008 elections. Republican seats in Virginia, Alaska, New Hampshire New Mexico, Colorado, Oregon, Minnesota Kentucky, and Maine are all potentially vulnerable.

Rasmussen Markets data prior to release of this poll suggested that Cochran has a % chance of winning Mississippi’s Senate election. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour earns good or excellent ratings from 53% of voters. Just 19% of voters say he is doing a poor job as governor.

The Presidential race between John McCain and Barack Obama in Mississippi is much closer.

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Mississippi Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

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In Trade

2002 Results

Cochran (R)




Fleming (D)




This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 24, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.

Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Mississippi




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About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.