The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters shows Democrat Al Franken attracting 44% of the vote and incumbent Republican Norm Coleman earning 42%. A month ago, it was Coleman 48% and Franken 45%.
Franken’s support has stayed between 43% and 45% in four straight polls. The current poll is by far the lowest level of support earned by the incumbent, suggesting that the rumblings of a possible Ventura campaign raised new possibilities for voters to consider. However, on Monday night, Ventura announced that he will not enter the campaign.
In a two-way race, Coleman earns 90% of the Republican vote, Franken gets 76% of Democrats, and the candidates split the unaffiliated vote. A month ago, Coleman was supported by 20% of Democrats. Now, that figure is down to 10%.
Coleman is viewed favorably by 49% of Minnesota voters, unfavorably by 47%. For Franken, the numbers are 49% favorable and 46% unfavorable.
Coleman was first elected to the Senate six years ago, with just under 50% of the vote. He came in second to Ventura in a three-way race for governor in 1998.
If Ventura had entered the race, he would have started with 22% support from Minnesota voters. Coleman earned 36% of the vote in a three-way race and Franken attracted 34%.
Ventura earns positive reviews from just 33% of the state’s voters and unfavorable assessments from 64%.
This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.
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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
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Minnesota Trends: Coleman vs. Franken |
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|---|---|---|
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Date |
Coleman |
Franken |
|
10/28/2008 |
43% |
39% |
|
37% |
41% |
|
|
37% |
43% |
|
|
48% |
47% |
|
|
45% |
45% |
|
|
44% |
43% |
|
|
42% |
44% |
|
|
48% |
45% |
|
|
47% |
45% |
|
|
50% |
43% |
|
|
48% |
46% |
|
|
46% |
49% |
|
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Favorable Ratings For Senate Candidates in Minnesota |
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|---|---|---|
|
Coleman |
Franken |
|
|
Very Favorable |
24% |
18% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
27% |
29% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
26% |
13% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
22% |
38% |
|
Not Sure |
1% |
2% |
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.