If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

McConnell 51%, Lunsford 42% in Kentucky Senate Race

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is still leading his Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in Kentucky.

The incumbent Republican leads Lunsford 51% to 42%, down slightly from the 12-point lead he held in late July.

McConnell, who is seeking a fifth six-year term in the Senate had been viewed early in this election cycle as one of several vulnerable GOP senators. In May, Lunsford led by five points following his victory in the state’s Democratic Primary, but McConnell has been ahead ever since.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Lunsford, who served as Kentucky’s Commerce secretary from 1980-1983, ran unsuccessfully for governor of the state in 2003 and 2007.

Rasmussen Reports will release the numbers on the presidential race from Kentucky at 5 pm Eastern today.

McConnell has the support of 88% of Kentucky’s Republicans while Lunsford is favored by 68% of Democrats. Unaffiliated voters give Lunsford the edge 47% to 36% (see crosstabs).

The Republican leads among men by 17 points but among women by just four points.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of Kentucky voters have at least a favorable view of McConnell, and 40% view him unfavorably. Lunsford is viewed favorably by 43%, unfavorably by 52%.

Rasmussen Markets data gives McConnell a % chance of reelection. These numbers are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

While McConnell now seems safely on a course to reelection, many Republican Senate seats remain at risk, including ones in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, North Carolina and Virginia.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Kentucky voters give Democratic Governor Steve Beshear good or excellent marks for job performance, up four points from late July. Only 17% now say Beshear, who unsuccessfully challenged McConnell for his Senate seat in 1996, is doing a poor job. This is a drop of 11 points from the previous survey.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Kentucky Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

McConnell (R)

51%

51%

64%

Lunsford (D)

44%

43%

36%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Kentucky Trends: McConnell vs. Lunsford

Date

McConnell

Lunsford

10/29/2008

51%

44%

10/21/2008

50%

43%

09/30/2008

51%

42%

07/29/2008

50%

38%

06/25/2008

48%

41%

05/22/2008

44%

49%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Kentucky

 

McConnell

Lunsford

Very Favorable

31%

16%

Somewhat Favorable

24%

29%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

24%

Very Unfavorable

22%

25%

Not Sure

4%

7%

About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.