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Kansas Senate: Roberts 52% Slattery 40%

Before March, the Unites States Senate election in Kansas was a shoe-in for Republican incumbent Pat Roberts. At that point there was no viable Democratic candidate in the race and the state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932. However, the decision by Democratic Congressmen Jim Slattery to run for office has made the race potentially more interesting.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Kansas voters found Roberts leading Slattery 52% to 40%.

The incumbent leads Slattery by twenty-one points among male voters, but just six percent among women.

The Democratic challenger leads Roberts by three points among unaffiliated voters. Roberts earns the vote from 82% of Republicans while Slattery attracts 75% of Democrats.

From an ideological perspective, the candidates are tied at 46% among moderate voters.

Roberts is viewed favorably by 60% of Kansas voters and unfavorably by 34%. Slattery’s numbers are 46% favorable, 38% unfavorable, and 17% of voters are not sure.

Many believe that Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius would have been an even stronger democratic candidate in the Senate race if she had decided to run. Fifty-six percent (56%) of the state’s voters say she is doing a good or excellent job as Governor. Just 22% give her a poor rating.

Sebelius has been mentioned as a possible running mate for Barack Obama. If she is added to the ticket, 28% of Kansas voters would be more likely to vote for Obama while 34% say they would be less likely to do so.

Rasmussen Markets data now shows that Roberts is given a % chance of being re-elected. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

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Kansas Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Roberts (R)

55%

56%

83%

Slattery (D)

36%

37%

9% (L)

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 13, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Kansas

 

Roberts

Slattery

Very Favorable

32%

8%

Somewhat Favorable

25%

28%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

27%

Very Unfavorable

15%

23%

Not Sure

9%

14%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.