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Illinois Senate: No Surprise as Durbin Cruising

Illinois Senator Dick Durbin enjoys a 24-percentage-point lead in his bid for re-election.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the incumbent leading Republican opponent Steve Sauerberg 59% to 35% (see crosstabs). That’s little changed from a month ago.

Durbin, the number two ranked Democrat in the United States Senate, is seeking his third term in the Senate. Sauerberg is a doctor from the Chicago suburbs.

Durbin is viewed favorably by 59% of Illinois voters and unfavorably by 35%. Sauerberg’s numbers are 39% favorable and 33% unfavorable, while 28% are not sure.

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Rasmussen Markets data shows that the Democrats are currently given a % chance of winning Illinois’ Senate race. Figures updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the Rasmussen Market results.

Barack Obama, the state's other senator, remains comfortably ahead of his Republican presidential rival John McCain in Illinois, now considered perhaps the most reliably Democratic state in the Midwest. Nationally, Obama and McCain are locked in a tight contest in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College.

While this poll indicates a somewhat tighter race than expected in South Carolina, there are many other Republican Senate seats potentially in play for Democrats this year. This includes seats in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, and The only Democratic incumbent polling below 50% is New Jersey’s Frank Lautenberg.

State polling on the Presidential race was released last week for Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Maine, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Utah, Vermont, Virginia and Wisconsin. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling data are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Illinois Safe Democrat

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

Ras Mkts

In Trade

2002 Results

Sauerberg (R)

31%

32%

38%

Durbin (D)

62%

60%

60%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 17, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Illinois Trends: Durbin (D) vs. Sauerberg (R)

Date

Durbin

Sauerberg

10/13/2008

62%

31%

09/17/2008

59%

35%

08/12/2008

60%

31%

07/08/2008

61%

27%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Illinois

 

Durbin

Sauerberg

Very Favorable

36%

10%

Somewhat Favorable

25%

20%

Somewhat Unfavorable

11%

22%

Very Unfavorable

21%

20%

Not Sure

7%

28%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.