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Georgia Senate: Chambliss with Solid Leads Over All Challengers

Republicans are expecting a long and difficult Election Night in 2008 and their prospects for the U.S. Senate are especially bleak. However, it appears that the Republican incumbent in Georgia will not be adding to his party’s woes in November.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Georgia found Saxby Chambliss continuing to enjoy double-digit leads over three potential Democratic candidates who want his job. Chambliss was first elected in 2002 by a 53% to 46% margin.

Chambliss now leads Dale Cardwell 51% to 37%, Vernon Jones 58% to 30% and Jim Martin 54% to 33%. Those figures are very similar to results from a month ago.

Chambliss is viewed favorably by 61% of Georgia voters, up four points from a month ago. Those figures include 22% who view Chambliss Very Favorably and 15% who have a Very Unfavorable opinion of their Senator.

Cardwell has the highest favorability ratings of the Democratic challengers, but he receives positive reviews from just 35% of voters statewide. Martin is viewed favorably by 34%, Jones by 30%.

None of the Democrats break into double digits in the Very Favorable category. by 15%. Cardwell and Martin are each viewed that positively by 9%, Jones by 8%.

When it comes to Very Unfavorable ratings, Jones is at 30%, Martin 16%, and Cardwell 15%.

While Chambliss is doing well in Georgia, Democrats expect to pick up many Republican Senate seats this November. High on the list are contests in Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Colorado, and Alaska. Other potentially vulnerable Republican incumbents can be found in Minnesota, Oregon, Kentucky and Texas. Any incumbent who polls below 50% early in the campaign season is considered potentially vulnerable.

Governor Sonny Perdue earns good or excellent ratings from 49% of Georgia voters. That’s down from 55% a month ago. Just 17% give him a poor rating. Up four since March. Nearly a third, 32%, give him a more neutral assessment and say the Governor is doing a fair job.

In the presidential election, McCain holds strong leads over both potential Democratic candidates in Georgia.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

Rasmussen Markets data shows the Chambliss is heavily favored to win re-election. Currently, expectations for a GOP Senate victory in Georgia are at %. These figures are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and share your opinion.

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Georgia Leans Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Chambliss (R)

50%

48%

53%

Martin (D)

46%

45%

46%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 6, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Georgia

 

Chambliss

Martin

Very Favorable

29%

26%

Somewhat Favorable

29%

24%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

22%

Very Unfavorable

22%

25%

Not Sure

3%

4%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.