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Alabama Senate: Sessions’ Lead Still Strong

Republican Senator Jeff Sessions continues to maintain a strong lead over his Democratic challenger Vivian Davis Figures in Alabama’s race for the U.S. Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Sessions ahead 58% to 31%.

The incumbent has led by at least 20 percentage pointsin each poll conducted since tracking began in April. Last month, Sessions, who is seeking a third six-year term, led Figures 58% to 34%.

Sessions is backed by 96% of Republicans in Alabama and 14% of Democrats. Figures, a member of the Alabama State Senate, earns support from 73% of Democrats and 3% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, the incumbent has a dominant 62% to 14% lead. Last month, Sessions led by a 63% to 24% margin among those voters.

Sessions leads Figures 64% to 25% among men in Alabaa and has a 54% to 35% advantage among women. Those numbers have changed little over the past month.

After serving as Alabama’s Attorney General, Sessions was elected to Senate in 1996. He easily won re-election in 2002, and is serving as a ranking member in two subcommittees. Figures has served in the State Senate since 1997 when she assumed the seat of her late husband, Michael Figures.

The incumbent senator is viewed favorably by 64% of voters in Alabama, down from 68% last month, and unfavorably by 25%, down from 27% last month. Figures’ numbers are 42% favorable, up from 37% in June, and 37% unfavorable, down from 42% last month.

The Republican’s strong numbers in Alabama offer a rare bit of good news for the party in this year’s round of Senate elections. States with Republican senators that are likely to go Democratic include Virginia, Alaska, New Mexico, New Hampshire. Other Republican seats in play can be found in Colorado, Minnesota and Mississippi. The only Democratic seat potentially at risk is in Louisiana.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Sessions is currently given a % chance of keeping his job in November. This figure is updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

In Alabama’s Presidential election, John McCain has a comfortable lead over Barack Obama.

Approval ratings for Alabama Governor Bob Riley haveslipped slightly this month. The governor earns good or excellent ratings from59% of voters, down from 64% last month. Just 12% of voters think Riley isdoing a poor job, compared to 13% last month.

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Alabama Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Sessions (R)

59%

58%

59%

Figures (D)

30%

32%

40%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 31, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Alabama Trends: Sessions vs. Figures

Date

Sessions

Figures

09/22/2008

59%

30%

07/31/2008

58%

31%

06/26/2008

58%

34%

05/29/2008

62%

29%

04/02/2008

57%

36%

Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Alabama

 

Sessions

Figures

Very Favorable

35%

20%

Somewhat Favorable

33%

18%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

25%

Very Unfavorable

9%

19%

Not Sure

7%

18%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.